Smiledirectclub Stock Market Value
| SDCCQ Stock | 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | SmileDirectClub |
SmileDirectClub 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SmileDirectClub's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SmileDirectClub.
| 06/28/2025 |
| 12/25/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in SmileDirectClub on June 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SmileDirectClub or generate 0.0% return on investment in SmileDirectClub over 180 days.
SmileDirectClub Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SmileDirectClub's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SmileDirectClub upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 150.0 |
SmileDirectClub Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SmileDirectClub's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SmileDirectClub's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SmileDirectClub historical prices to predict the future SmileDirectClub's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.70) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (2.39) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.52) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SmileDirectClub's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SmileDirectClub Backtested Returns
SmileDirectClub is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. SmileDirectClub owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which indicates the firm had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 28.91% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use SmileDirectClub Coefficient Of Variation of (2,936), risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Variance of 316.55 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. SmileDirectClub holds a performance score of 12 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of 1.18, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, SmileDirectClub will likely underperform. Use SmileDirectClub variance, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and price action indicator , to analyze future returns on SmileDirectClub.
Auto-correlation | 0.01 |
Virtually no predictability
SmileDirectClub has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SmileDirectClub time series from 28th of June 2025 to 26th of September 2025 and 26th of September 2025 to 25th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SmileDirectClub price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current SmileDirectClub price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.01 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.78 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
SmileDirectClub lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is SmileDirectClub pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SmileDirectClub's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SmileDirectClub returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SmileDirectClub has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
SmileDirectClub regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SmileDirectClub pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SmileDirectClub pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SmileDirectClub pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
SmileDirectClub Lagged Returns
When evaluating SmileDirectClub's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SmileDirectClub pink sheet have on its future price. SmileDirectClub autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SmileDirectClub autocorrelation shows the relationship between SmileDirectClub pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SmileDirectClub.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with SmileDirectClub
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if SmileDirectClub position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SmileDirectClub will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against SmileDirectClub Pink Sheet
The ability to find closely correlated positions to SmileDirectClub could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace SmileDirectClub when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back SmileDirectClub - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling SmileDirectClub to buy it.
The correlation of SmileDirectClub is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as SmileDirectClub moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if SmileDirectClub moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for SmileDirectClub can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for SmileDirectClub Pink Sheet Analysis
When running SmileDirectClub's price analysis, check to measure SmileDirectClub's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SmileDirectClub is operating at the current time. Most of SmileDirectClub's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SmileDirectClub's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SmileDirectClub's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SmileDirectClub to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.