Summit Hotel (Germany) Market Value

SDP Stock  EUR 5.90  0.15  2.48%   
Summit Hotel's market value is the price at which a share of Summit Hotel trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Summit Hotel Properties investors about its performance. Summit Hotel is trading at 5.90 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 2.48 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 5.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Summit Hotel Properties and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Summit Hotel over a given investment horizon. Check out Summit Hotel Correlation, Summit Hotel Volatility and Summit Hotel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Summit Hotel.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Summit Hotel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Summit Hotel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Summit Hotel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Summit Hotel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Summit Hotel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Summit Hotel.
0.00
11/29/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Summit Hotel on November 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Summit Hotel Properties or generate 0.0% return on investment in Summit Hotel over 360 days. Summit Hotel is related to or competes with Host Hotels, Sunstone Hotel, and ASHFORD HOSPITTRUST. Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. is a publicly-traded real estate investment trust focused on owning premium-branded hotels... More

Summit Hotel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Summit Hotel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Summit Hotel Properties upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Summit Hotel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Summit Hotel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Summit Hotel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Summit Hotel historical prices to predict the future Summit Hotel's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.735.908.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.335.507.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.485.647.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.645.836.02
Details

Summit Hotel Properties Backtested Returns

At this point, Summit Hotel is somewhat reliable. Summit Hotel Properties owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0021, which indicates the firm had a 0.0021% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Summit Hotel Properties, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Summit Hotel's Semi Deviation of 1.52, coefficient of variation of 12757.19, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0124 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0046%. The entity has a beta of 0.22, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Summit Hotel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Summit Hotel is expected to be smaller as well. Summit Hotel Properties right now has a risk of 2.15%. Please validate Summit Hotel value at risk, expected short fall, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and downside variance , to decide if Summit Hotel will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.26  

Weak reverse predictability

Summit Hotel Properties has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Summit Hotel time series from 29th of November 2023 to 27th of May 2024 and 27th of May 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Summit Hotel Properties price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Summit Hotel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.26
Spearman Rank Test-0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Summit Hotel Properties lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Summit Hotel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Summit Hotel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Summit Hotel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Summit Hotel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Summit Hotel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Summit Hotel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Summit Hotel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Summit Hotel stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Summit Hotel Lagged Returns

When evaluating Summit Hotel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Summit Hotel stock have on its future price. Summit Hotel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Summit Hotel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Summit Hotel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Summit Hotel Properties.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Summit Stock

When determining whether Summit Hotel Properties offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Summit Hotel's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Summit Hotel Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Summit Hotel Properties Stock:
Check out Summit Hotel Correlation, Summit Hotel Volatility and Summit Hotel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Summit Hotel.
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Summit Hotel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Summit Hotel technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Summit Hotel trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...