Serco Group's market value is the price at which a share of Serco Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Serco Group plc investors about its performance. Serco Group is trading at 3.47 as of the 26th of December 2025. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.47. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Serco Group plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Serco Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Serco Group Correlation, Serco Group Volatility and Serco Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Serco Group.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Serco Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Serco Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Serco Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Serco Group 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Serco Group's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Serco Group.
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If you would invest 0.00 in Serco Group on November 26, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Serco Group plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Serco Group over 30 days. Serco Group is related to or competes with Mitie Group, Mitie Group, TechnoPro Holdings, Teleperformance, Lixil Group, ISS A/S, and Nabtesco. Serco Group plc provides public services in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and the Middle ... More
Serco Group Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Serco Group's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Serco Group plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Serco Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Serco Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Serco Group historical prices to predict the future Serco Group's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Serco Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
At this point, Serco Group is moderately volatile. Serco Group plc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0783, which indicates the firm had a 0.0783 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Serco Group plc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Serco Group's Semi Deviation of 1.08, coefficient of variation of 911.84, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0838 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. Serco Group has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.22, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Serco Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Serco Group is likely to outperform the market. Serco Group plc right now has a risk of 2.02%. Please validate Serco Group downside variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Serco Group will be following its existing price patterns.
Correlation Coefficient
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Spearman Rank Test
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Residual Average
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Price Variance
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Serco Group plc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Serco Group pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Serco Group's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Serco Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Serco Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
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Serco Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Serco Group pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Serco Group pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Serco Group pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
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Serco Group Lagged Returns
When evaluating Serco Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Serco Group pink sheet have on its future price. Serco Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Serco Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Serco Group pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Serco Group plc.
Other Information on Investing in Serco Pink Sheet
Serco Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Serco Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Serco with respect to the benefits of owning Serco Group security.