Guggenheim Mid Cap Fund Market Value

SEVAX Fund  USD 43.38  0.48  1.12%   
Guggenheim Mid's market value is the price at which a share of Guggenheim Mid trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guggenheim Mid Cap investors about its performance. Guggenheim Mid is trading at 43.38 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.12% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 42.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guggenheim Mid Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guggenheim Mid over a given investment horizon. Check out Guggenheim Mid Correlation, Guggenheim Mid Volatility and Guggenheim Mid Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guggenheim Mid.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guggenheim Mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guggenheim Mid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guggenheim Mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guggenheim Mid 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guggenheim Mid's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guggenheim Mid.
0.00
10/31/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 25 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guggenheim Mid on October 31, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guggenheim Mid Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guggenheim Mid over 390 days. Guggenheim Mid is related to or competes with Guggenheim Directional, Guggenheim Directional, Guggenheim Directional, Guggenheim Rbp, Guggenheim Rbp, Guggenheim Rbp, and Guggenheim Rbp. The fund pursues its objective by investing, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its assets in a diversified portfolio of equity securities, which include common stocks, rights, options, warrants, convertible debt securities, and American Depositary Receipts , that, when purchased, have market capitalizations that are usually within the range of companies in the Russell 2500 Value Index. More

Guggenheim Mid Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guggenheim Mid's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guggenheim Mid Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guggenheim Mid Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guggenheim Mid's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guggenheim Mid's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guggenheim Mid historical prices to predict the future Guggenheim Mid's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.3943.3844.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.8942.8843.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.4342.4243.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.7743.2243.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guggenheim Mid. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guggenheim Mid's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guggenheim Mid's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guggenheim Mid Cap.

Guggenheim Mid Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Guggenheim Mutual Fund to be very steady. Guggenheim Mid Cap holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0929, which attests that the entity had a 0.0929% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Guggenheim Mid Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Guggenheim Mid's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1057, risk adjusted performance of 0.0954, and Downside Deviation of 0.8387 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0916%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.18, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guggenheim Mid will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.59  

Modest predictability

Guggenheim Mid Cap has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guggenheim Mid time series from 31st of October 2023 to 13th of May 2024 and 13th of May 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guggenheim Mid Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Guggenheim Mid price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.59
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.91

Guggenheim Mid Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guggenheim Mid mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guggenheim Mid's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guggenheim Mid returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guggenheim Mid has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guggenheim Mid regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guggenheim Mid mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guggenheim Mid mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guggenheim Mid mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guggenheim Mid Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guggenheim Mid's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guggenheim Mid mutual fund have on its future price. Guggenheim Mid autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guggenheim Mid autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guggenheim Mid mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guggenheim Mid Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Guggenheim Mutual Fund

Guggenheim Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guggenheim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guggenheim with respect to the benefits of owning Guggenheim Mid security.
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