State Farm Interim Fund Market Value

SFITX Fund  USD 9.58  0.01  0.10%   
State Farm's market value is the price at which a share of State Farm trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of State Farm Interim investors about its performance. State Farm is trading at 9.58 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.1 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.59.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of State Farm Interim and determine expected loss or profit from investing in State Farm over a given investment horizon. Check out State Farm Correlation, State Farm Volatility and State Farm Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on State Farm.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between State Farm's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if State Farm is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, State Farm's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

State Farm 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to State Farm's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of State Farm.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in State Farm on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding State Farm Interim or generate 0.0% return on investment in State Farm over 30 days. State Farm is related to or competes with Maryland Tax-free, Mirova Global, Rbc Bluebay, Nebraska Municipal, Touchstone Ohio, Nuveen Massachusetts, and T Rowe. Under normal circumstances, the fund will invest substantially all its net assets in a representative sample of the U.S More

State Farm Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure State Farm's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess State Farm Interim upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

State Farm Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for State Farm's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as State Farm's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use State Farm historical prices to predict the future State Farm's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of State Farm's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.439.589.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.449.599.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.439.589.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.559.589.60
Details

State Farm Interim Backtested Returns

State Farm Interim owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0208, which indicates the fund had a -0.0208% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. State Farm Interim exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate State Farm's Coefficient Of Variation of (3,232), variance of 0.0224, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0391, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning State Farm are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, State Farm is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

State Farm Interim has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between State Farm time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of State Farm Interim price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current State Farm price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

State Farm Interim lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is State Farm mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting State Farm's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of State Farm returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that State Farm has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

State Farm regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If State Farm mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if State Farm mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in State Farm mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

State Farm Lagged Returns

When evaluating State Farm's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of State Farm mutual fund have on its future price. State Farm autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, State Farm autocorrelation shows the relationship between State Farm mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in State Farm Interim.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in State Mutual Fund

State Farm financial ratios help investors to determine whether State Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in State with respect to the benefits of owning State Farm security.
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