Catalystexceed Defined Shield Fund Market Value

SHINX Fund  USD 9.92  0.02  0.20%   
Catalyst/exceed Defined's market value is the price at which a share of Catalyst/exceed Defined trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Catalystexceed Defined Shield investors about its performance. Catalyst/exceed Defined is trading at 9.92 as of the 31st of January 2025; that is 0.20 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Catalystexceed Defined Shield and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Catalyst/exceed Defined over a given investment horizon. Check out Catalyst/exceed Defined Correlation, Catalyst/exceed Defined Volatility and Catalyst/exceed Defined Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Catalyst/exceed Defined.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Catalyst/exceed Defined's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Catalyst/exceed Defined is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Catalyst/exceed Defined's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Catalyst/exceed Defined 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Catalyst/exceed Defined's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Catalyst/exceed Defined.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 4 months and 31 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Catalyst/exceed Defined on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Catalystexceed Defined Shield or generate 0.0% return on investment in Catalyst/exceed Defined over 150 days. Catalyst/exceed Defined is related to or competes with Franklin Conservative, Tax-free Conservative, Goldman Sachs, Stone Ridge, Delaware Limited, Tiaa-cref Lifestyle, and Transamerica Asset. Under normal market conditions, the fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in put and call options ... More

Catalyst/exceed Defined Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Catalyst/exceed Defined's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Catalystexceed Defined Shield upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Catalyst/exceed Defined Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Catalyst/exceed Defined's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Catalyst/exceed Defined's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Catalyst/exceed Defined historical prices to predict the future Catalyst/exceed Defined's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.489.9210.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.449.8810.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.559.9910.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.699.839.98
Details

Catalyst/exceed Defined Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Catalyst/exceed Mutual Fund to be very steady. Catalyst/exceed Defined secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the fund had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Catalystexceed Defined Shield, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Catalyst/exceed Defined's Downside Deviation of 0.4996, mean deviation of 0.3341, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0659 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0636%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Catalyst/exceed Defined's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Catalyst/exceed Defined is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.18  

Very weak predictability

Catalystexceed Defined Shield has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Catalyst/exceed Defined time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Catalyst/exceed Defined price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Catalyst/exceed Defined price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.18
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Catalyst/exceed Defined lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Catalyst/exceed Defined mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Catalyst/exceed Defined's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Catalyst/exceed Defined returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Catalyst/exceed Defined has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Catalyst/exceed Defined regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Catalyst/exceed Defined mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Catalyst/exceed Defined mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Catalyst/exceed Defined mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Catalyst/exceed Defined Lagged Returns

When evaluating Catalyst/exceed Defined's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Catalyst/exceed Defined mutual fund have on its future price. Catalyst/exceed Defined autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Catalyst/exceed Defined autocorrelation shows the relationship between Catalyst/exceed Defined mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Catalystexceed Defined Shield.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in Catalyst/exceed Mutual Fund

Catalyst/exceed Defined financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalyst/exceed Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalyst/exceed with respect to the benefits of owning Catalyst/exceed Defined security.
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