AB SKF (Germany) Market Value
| SKFA Stock | EUR 17.34 0.22 1.29% |
| Symbol | SKFA |
AB SKF 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AB SKF's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AB SKF.
| 08/28/2024 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AB SKF on August 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AB SKF or generate 0.0% return on investment in AB SKF over 90 days. AB SKF is related to or competes with Stanley Black, MISUMI GROUP, and Makita. AB SKF offers bearings, seals, condition monitoring, lubrication systems, and services More
AB SKF Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AB SKF's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AB SKF upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.02 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.12 |
AB SKF Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AB SKF's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AB SKF's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AB SKF historical prices to predict the future AB SKF's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0341 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0264 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1889 |
AB SKF Backtested Returns
At this point, AB SKF is not too volatile. AB SKF retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0364, which signifies that the company had a 0.0364% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for AB SKF, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm AB SKF's Coefficient Of Variation of 2794.48, standard deviation of 2.32, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1989 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0856%. AB SKF has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.39, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AB SKF's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AB SKF is expected to be smaller as well. AB SKF today owns a risk of 2.35%. Please confirm AB SKF semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if AB SKF will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | 0.11 |
Insignificant predictability
AB SKF has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AB SKF time series from 28th of August 2024 to 12th of October 2024 and 12th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AB SKF price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current AB SKF price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.42 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.18 |
AB SKF lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is AB SKF stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AB SKF's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AB SKF returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AB SKF has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
AB SKF regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AB SKF stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AB SKF stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AB SKF stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
AB SKF Lagged Returns
When evaluating AB SKF's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AB SKF stock have on its future price. AB SKF autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AB SKF autocorrelation shows the relationship between AB SKF stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AB SKF.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in SKFA Stock
AB SKF financial ratios help investors to determine whether SKFA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SKFA with respect to the benefits of owning AB SKF security.