Scottish Mortgage (UK) Market Value

SMT Etf   922.40  15.60  1.72%   
Scottish Mortgage's market value is the price at which a share of Scottish Mortgage trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Scottish Mortgage Investment investors about its performance. Scottish Mortgage is trading at 922.40 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 1.72 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 908.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Scottish Mortgage Investment and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Scottish Mortgage over a given investment horizon. Check out Scottish Mortgage Correlation, Scottish Mortgage Volatility and Scottish Mortgage Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Scottish Mortgage.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Scottish Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scottish Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scottish Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Scottish Mortgage 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Scottish Mortgage's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Scottish Mortgage.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Scottish Mortgage on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Scottish Mortgage Investment or generate 0.0% return on investment in Scottish Mortgage over 30 days. Scottish Mortgage is related to or competes with IShares MSCI, Amundi EUR, IShares JP, Xtrackers MSCI, and Lyxor Smart. Scottish Mortgage is entity of United Kingdom More

Scottish Mortgage Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Scottish Mortgage's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Scottish Mortgage Investment upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Scottish Mortgage Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Scottish Mortgage's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Scottish Mortgage's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Scottish Mortgage historical prices to predict the future Scottish Mortgage's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
921.21922.40923.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
870.48871.671,015
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
902.59903.77904.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
871.35911.12950.90
Details

Scottish Mortgage Backtested Returns

At this point, Scottish Mortgage is very steady. Scottish Mortgage owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which indicates the etf had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Scottish Mortgage Investment, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate Scottish Mortgage's Coefficient Of Variation of 1480.06, semi deviation of 1.23, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.055 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. The entity has a beta of 0.56, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Scottish Mortgage's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Scottish Mortgage is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

Scottish Mortgage Investment has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Scottish Mortgage time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Scottish Mortgage price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Scottish Mortgage price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance139.09

Scottish Mortgage lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Scottish Mortgage etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Scottish Mortgage's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Scottish Mortgage returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Scottish Mortgage has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Scottish Mortgage regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Scottish Mortgage etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Scottish Mortgage etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Scottish Mortgage etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Scottish Mortgage Lagged Returns

When evaluating Scottish Mortgage's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Scottish Mortgage etf have on its future price. Scottish Mortgage autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Scottish Mortgage autocorrelation shows the relationship between Scottish Mortgage etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Scottish Mortgage Investment.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Scottish Etf

Scottish Mortgage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scottish Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scottish with respect to the benefits of owning Scottish Mortgage security.