Scottish Mortgage Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SMT Etf | 929.20 6.80 0.74% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scottish Mortgage Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 906.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 475.02. Scottish Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Scottish Mortgage stock prices and determine the direction of Scottish Mortgage Investment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Scottish Mortgage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Scottish |
Scottish Mortgage Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scottish Mortgage Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 906.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.79, mean absolute percentage error of 88.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 475.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scottish Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scottish Mortgage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Scottish Mortgage Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Scottish Mortgage | Scottish Mortgage Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Scottish Mortgage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Scottish Mortgage's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scottish Mortgage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 905.67 and 908.01, respectively. We have considered Scottish Mortgage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scottish Mortgage etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scottish Mortgage etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.5919 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.7872 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.009 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 475.0194 |
Predictive Modules for Scottish Mortgage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scottish Mortgage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Scottish Mortgage
For every potential investor in Scottish, whether a beginner or expert, Scottish Mortgage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scottish Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scottish. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scottish Mortgage's price trends.Scottish Mortgage Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scottish Mortgage etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scottish Mortgage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scottish Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Scottish Mortgage Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Scottish Mortgage's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Scottish Mortgage's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Scottish Mortgage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scottish Mortgage etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scottish Mortgage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scottish Mortgage etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Scottish Mortgage Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Scottish Mortgage Risk Indicators
The analysis of Scottish Mortgage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scottish Mortgage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scottish etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Scottish Etf
Scottish Mortgage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scottish Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scottish with respect to the benefits of owning Scottish Mortgage security.