Short Oil Gas Fund Market Value

SNPIX Fund  USD 13.26  0.01  0.08%   
Short Oil's market value is the price at which a share of Short Oil trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Short Oil Gas investors about its performance. Short Oil is trading at 13.26 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.08 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Short Oil Gas and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Short Oil over a given investment horizon. Check out Short Oil Correlation, Short Oil Volatility and Short Oil Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Short Oil.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Short Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Short Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Short Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Short Oil 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Short Oil's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Short Oil.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Short Oil on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Short Oil Gas or generate 0.0% return on investment in Short Oil over 30 days. Short Oil is related to or competes with Ms Global, Maryland Tax-free, Versatile Bond, Kinetics Spin-off, Rational/pier, and Artisan Emerging. The fund invests in financial instruments that the fund Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns ... More

Short Oil Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Short Oil's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Short Oil Gas upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Short Oil Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Short Oil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Short Oil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Short Oil historical prices to predict the future Short Oil's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6812.8814.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1712.3713.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1513.3514.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.1613.5013.84
Details

Short Oil Gas Backtested Returns

Short Oil Gas owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0973, which indicates the fund had a -0.0973% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Short Oil Gas exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Short Oil's Variance of 1.45, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Coefficient Of Variation of (977.64) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.76, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Short Oil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Short Oil is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.93  

Excellent predictability

Short Oil Gas has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Short Oil time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Short Oil Gas price movement. The serial correlation of 0.93 indicates that approximately 93.0% of current Short Oil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.93
Spearman Rank Test0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Short Oil Gas lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Short Oil mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Short Oil's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Short Oil returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Short Oil has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Short Oil regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Short Oil mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Short Oil mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Short Oil mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Short Oil Lagged Returns

When evaluating Short Oil's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Short Oil mutual fund have on its future price. Short Oil autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Short Oil autocorrelation shows the relationship between Short Oil mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Short Oil Gas.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Short Mutual Fund

Short Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Short Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Short with respect to the benefits of owning Short Oil security.
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