Transam Short Term Bond Fund Market Value

TAAQX Fund   9.78  0.02  0.20%   
Transam Short's market value is the price at which a share of Transam Short trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Transam Short Term Bond investors about its performance. Transam Short is trading at 9.78 as of the 23rd of December 2024; that is 0.2% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Transam Short Term Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Transam Short over a given investment horizon. Check out Transam Short Correlation, Transam Short Volatility and Transam Short Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Transam Short.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Transam Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Transam Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Transam Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Transam Short 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Transam Short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Transam Short.
0.00
01/03/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Transam Short on January 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Transam Short Term Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Transam Short over 720 days. Transam Short is related to or competes with Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Capital, Transamerica Growth, Transamerica Large, and Transamerica Large. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in fixed-income securities More

Transam Short Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Transam Short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Transam Short Term Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Transam Short Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Transam Short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Transam Short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Transam Short historical prices to predict the future Transam Short's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.669.789.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.679.799.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.639.769.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.779.809.83
Details

Transam Short Term Backtested Returns

Transam Short Term owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0888, which indicates the fund had a -0.0888% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Transam Short Term Bond exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Transam Short's Variance of 0.0153, coefficient of variation of (1,344), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0196, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Transam Short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Transam Short is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.80  

Very good predictability

Transam Short Term Bond has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Transam Short time series from 3rd of January 2023 to 29th of December 2023 and 29th of December 2023 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Transam Short Term price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current Transam Short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.8
Spearman Rank Test0.89
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Transam Short Term lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Transam Short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Transam Short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Transam Short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Transam Short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Transam Short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Transam Short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Transam Short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Transam Short mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Transam Short Lagged Returns

When evaluating Transam Short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Transam Short mutual fund have on its future price. Transam Short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Transam Short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Transam Short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Transam Short Term Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Transam Mutual Fund

Transam Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transam Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transam with respect to the benefits of owning Transam Short security.
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