TAG Oil's market value is the price at which a share of TAG Oil trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of TAG Oil investors about its performance. TAG Oil is trading at 0.06 as of the 28th of December 2025. This is a 14.29% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.06. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of TAG Oil and determine expected loss or profit from investing in TAG Oil over a given investment horizon. Check out TAG Oil Correlation, TAG Oil Volatility and TAG Oil Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TAG Oil.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TAG Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TAG Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TAG Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
TAG Oil 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TAG Oil's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TAG Oil.
0.00
07/01/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 5 months and 30 days
12/28/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in TAG Oil on July 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TAG Oil or generate 0.0% return on investment in TAG Oil over 180 days. TAG Oil is related to or competes with Avanti Energy, FAR, Laredo Oil, Spindletop, and IGas Energy. TAG Oil Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in ... More
TAG Oil Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TAG Oil's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TAG Oil upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TAG Oil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TAG Oil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TAG Oil historical prices to predict the future TAG Oil's volatility.
At this point, TAG Oil is out of control. TAG Oil owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the company had a close to zero % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for TAG Oil, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please validate TAG Oil's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.016, downside deviation of 16.44, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0969 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0949%. The firm has a beta of 0.98, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. TAG Oil returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, TAG Oil is expected to follow. TAG Oil now has a risk of 9.88%. Please validate TAG Oil total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if TAG Oil will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation
-0.43
Modest reverse predictability
TAG Oil has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TAG Oil time series from 1st of July 2025 to 29th of September 2025 and 29th of September 2025 to 28th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TAG Oil price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current TAG Oil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.43
Spearman Rank Test
-0.33
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.0
TAG Oil lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is TAG Oil otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TAG Oil's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TAG Oil returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TAG Oil has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
TAG Oil regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TAG Oil otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TAG Oil otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TAG Oil otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
TAG Oil Lagged Returns
When evaluating TAG Oil's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TAG Oil otc stock have on its future price. TAG Oil autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TAG Oil autocorrelation shows the relationship between TAG Oil otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TAG Oil.
TAG Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether TAG OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TAG with respect to the benefits of owning TAG Oil security.