Toronto Dominion Bank Preferred Stock Market Value

TD-PFD Preferred Stock  CAD 24.30  0.02  0.08%   
Toronto Dominion's market value is the price at which a share of Toronto Dominion trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Toronto Dominion Bank investors about its performance. Toronto Dominion is trading at 24.30 as of the 28th of November 2024, a 0.08 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 24.28.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Toronto Dominion Bank and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Toronto Dominion over a given investment horizon. Check out Toronto Dominion Correlation, Toronto Dominion Volatility and Toronto Dominion Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Toronto Dominion.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Toronto Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toronto Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toronto Dominion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Toronto Dominion 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Toronto Dominion's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Toronto Dominion.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Toronto Dominion on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Toronto Dominion Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in Toronto Dominion over 720 days. Toronto Dominion is related to or competes with Advent Wireless, Data Communications, Brookfield Asset, Economic Investment, Dream Office, and Westshore Terminals. The Toronto-Dominion Bank, together with its subsidiaries, provides various personal and commercial banking products and... More

Toronto Dominion Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Toronto Dominion's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Toronto Dominion Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Toronto Dominion Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Toronto Dominion's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Toronto Dominion's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Toronto Dominion historical prices to predict the future Toronto Dominion's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.8724.3024.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.7024.1324.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0124.4324.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.0624.2224.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Toronto Dominion. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Toronto Dominion's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Toronto Dominion's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Toronto Dominion Bank.

Toronto Dominion Bank Backtested Returns

At this point, Toronto Dominion is very steady. Toronto Dominion Bank owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0923, which indicates the firm had a 0.0923% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Toronto Dominion Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Toronto Dominion's Semi Deviation of 0.2892, risk adjusted performance of 0.0467, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1416.57 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0399%. Toronto Dominion has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.0312, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Toronto Dominion's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Toronto Dominion is expected to be smaller as well. Toronto Dominion Bank right now has a risk of 0.43%. Please validate Toronto Dominion skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the downside variance and daily balance of power , to decide if Toronto Dominion will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

Toronto Dominion Bank has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Toronto Dominion time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Toronto Dominion Bank price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Toronto Dominion price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.53

Toronto Dominion Bank lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Toronto Dominion preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Toronto Dominion's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Toronto Dominion returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Toronto Dominion has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Toronto Dominion regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Toronto Dominion preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Toronto Dominion preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Toronto Dominion preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Toronto Dominion Lagged Returns

When evaluating Toronto Dominion's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Toronto Dominion preferred stock have on its future price. Toronto Dominion autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Toronto Dominion autocorrelation shows the relationship between Toronto Dominion preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Toronto Dominion Bank.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Toronto Dominion

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Toronto Dominion position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Toronto Dominion will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Toronto Preferred Stock

  0.8ENB-PFV Enbridge Pref 5PairCorr
  0.88ENS E Split CorpPairCorr
  0.77ENS-PA E Split CorpPairCorr

Moving against Toronto Preferred Stock

  0.78TGO TeraGo IncPairCorr
  0.45RHC Royal HeliumPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Toronto Dominion could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Toronto Dominion when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Toronto Dominion - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Toronto Dominion Bank to buy it.
The correlation of Toronto Dominion is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Toronto Dominion moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Toronto Dominion Bank moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Toronto Dominion can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Toronto Preferred Stock

Toronto Dominion financial ratios help investors to determine whether Toronto Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Toronto with respect to the benefits of owning Toronto Dominion security.