Templeton Foreign Fund Market Value

TEFTX Fund  USD 8.04  0.01  0.12%   
Templeton Foreign's market value is the price at which a share of Templeton Foreign trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Templeton Foreign Fund investors about its performance. Templeton Foreign is trading at 8.04 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.12 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.05.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Templeton Foreign Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Templeton Foreign over a given investment horizon. Check out Templeton Foreign Correlation, Templeton Foreign Volatility and Templeton Foreign Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Templeton Foreign.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Templeton Foreign's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Templeton Foreign is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Templeton Foreign's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Templeton Foreign 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Templeton Foreign's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Templeton Foreign.
0.00
12/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Templeton Foreign on December 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Templeton Foreign Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Templeton Foreign over 720 days. Templeton Foreign is related to or competes with Franklin Mutual, Templeton Developing, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Templeton Foreign, and Templeton Foreign. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in foreign securities More

Templeton Foreign Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Templeton Foreign's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Templeton Foreign Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Templeton Foreign Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Templeton Foreign's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Templeton Foreign's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Templeton Foreign historical prices to predict the future Templeton Foreign's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Templeton Foreign's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.978.049.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.417.488.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.817.888.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.048.048.04
Details

Templeton Foreign Backtested Returns

Templeton Foreign owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0976, which indicates the fund had a -0.0976% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Templeton Foreign Fund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Templeton Foreign's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), variance of 1.19, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,361) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.15, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Templeton Foreign are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Templeton Foreign is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.24  

Weak predictability

Templeton Foreign Fund has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Templeton Foreign time series from 4th of December 2022 to 29th of November 2023 and 29th of November 2023 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Templeton Foreign price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Templeton Foreign price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.24
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Templeton Foreign lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Templeton Foreign mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Templeton Foreign's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Templeton Foreign returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Templeton Foreign has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Templeton Foreign regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Templeton Foreign mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Templeton Foreign mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Templeton Foreign mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Templeton Foreign Lagged Returns

When evaluating Templeton Foreign's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Templeton Foreign mutual fund have on its future price. Templeton Foreign autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Templeton Foreign autocorrelation shows the relationship between Templeton Foreign mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Templeton Foreign Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Templeton Mutual Fund

Templeton Foreign financial ratios help investors to determine whether Templeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Templeton with respect to the benefits of owning Templeton Foreign security.
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