Touchstone Focused Fund Market Value

TFFYX Fund  USD 75.56  0.20  0.27%   
Touchstone Focused's market value is the price at which a share of Touchstone Focused trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Touchstone Focused Fund investors about its performance. Touchstone Focused is trading at 75.56 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.27% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 75.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Touchstone Focused Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Touchstone Focused over a given investment horizon. Check out Touchstone Focused Correlation, Touchstone Focused Volatility and Touchstone Focused Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Touchstone Focused.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Touchstone Focused's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Touchstone Focused is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Touchstone Focused's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Touchstone Focused 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Touchstone Focused's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Touchstone Focused.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Touchstone Focused on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Touchstone Focused Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Touchstone Focused over 360 days. Touchstone Focused is related to or competes with Bbh Intermediate, Ms Global, California Bond, Artisan Emerging, Rbc Bluebay, Multisector Bond, and Ultra-short Term. The fund invests, under normal market conditions, at least 80 percent of its assets in equity securities More

Touchstone Focused Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Touchstone Focused's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Touchstone Focused Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Touchstone Focused Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Touchstone Focused's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Touchstone Focused's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Touchstone Focused historical prices to predict the future Touchstone Focused's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Touchstone Focused's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.8775.5676.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.2574.9475.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.9174.6075.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.2175.0976.97
Details

Touchstone Focused Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Touchstone Mutual Fund to be very steady. Touchstone Focused owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Touchstone Focused Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Touchstone Focused's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0949, coefficient of variation of 796.7, and Semi Deviation of 0.632 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0858%. The entity has a beta of 0.77, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Touchstone Focused's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Touchstone Focused is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.75  

Good predictability

Touchstone Focused Fund has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Touchstone Focused time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Touchstone Focused price movement. The serial correlation of 0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Touchstone Focused price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.75
Spearman Rank Test0.79
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6.3

Touchstone Focused lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Touchstone Focused mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Touchstone Focused's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Touchstone Focused returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Touchstone Focused has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Touchstone Focused regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Touchstone Focused mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Touchstone Focused mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Touchstone Focused mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Touchstone Focused Lagged Returns

When evaluating Touchstone Focused's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Touchstone Focused mutual fund have on its future price. Touchstone Focused autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Touchstone Focused autocorrelation shows the relationship between Touchstone Focused mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Touchstone Focused Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Touchstone Mutual Fund

Touchstone Focused financial ratios help investors to determine whether Touchstone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Touchstone with respect to the benefits of owning Touchstone Focused security.
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