Trigano SA (Germany) Market Value
| TGO Stock | EUR 116.80 0.40 0.34% |
| Symbol | Trigano |
Trigano SA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Trigano SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Trigano SA.
| 10/27/2024 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Trigano SA on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Trigano SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Trigano SA over 30 days. Trigano SA is related to or competes with OFFICE DEPOT, MINCO SILVER, Harmony Gold, NXP Semiconductors, MCEWEN MINING, and Tower Semiconductor. Trigano S.A. manufactures and sells leisure vehicles in Europe More
Trigano SA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Trigano SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Trigano SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0274 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.98) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.41 |
Trigano SA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Trigano SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Trigano SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Trigano SA historical prices to predict the future Trigano SA's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0696 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0972 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0341 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.252 |
Trigano SA Backtested Returns
Trigano SA appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Trigano SA owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0819, which indicates the firm had a 0.0819% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Trigano SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Trigano SA's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0696, coefficient of variation of 1220.4, and Semi Deviation of 1.66 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Trigano SA holds a performance score of 6. The entity has a beta of 0.74, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Trigano SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Trigano SA is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Trigano SA's jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Trigano SA's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.79 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Trigano SA has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Trigano SA time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Trigano SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Trigano SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.79 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 6.35 |
Trigano SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Trigano SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Trigano SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Trigano SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Trigano SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Trigano SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Trigano SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Trigano SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Trigano SA stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Trigano SA Lagged Returns
When evaluating Trigano SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Trigano SA stock have on its future price. Trigano SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Trigano SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Trigano SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Trigano SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Trigano Stock
Trigano SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trigano Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trigano with respect to the benefits of owning Trigano SA security.