Trigano SA (Germany) Price Prediction
TGO Stock | EUR 116.40 3.70 3.08% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Trigano SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trigano SA from the perspective of Trigano SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Trigano SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Trigano because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Trigano SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 116.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Trigano |
Trigano SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trigano SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trigano SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Trigano SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Trigano SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trigano SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trigano SA's historical news coverage. Trigano SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 114.02 and 118.78, respectively. We have considered Trigano SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trigano SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trigano SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trigano SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trigano SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trigano SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trigano SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
116.40 | 116.40 | 0.00 |
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Trigano SA Hype Timeline
Trigano SA is at this time traded for 116.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Trigano is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Trigano SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 116.40. About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Trigano SA recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.58. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of January 2023. The firm had 2:1 split on the 7th of October 2005. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Trigano SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Trigano SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trigano SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trigano SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Trigano SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trigano SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
RMY | Ramsay Health Care | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.27 | (2.54) | 9.69 | |
CUD | Canadian Utilities Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | 0.06 | 2.58 | (1.16) | 6.04 | |
FMW | FEMALE HEALTH | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.27 | (5.17) | 20.72 | |
FXL | FUYO GENERAL LEASE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.21 | (2.17) | 6.42 | |
CH5 | Chesapeake Utilities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.11 | 1.95 | (1.83) | 8.11 | |
HBO | Diamondrock Hospitality Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.09 | 3.80 | (2.38) | 10.56 | |
6E5 | NORDHEALTH AS NK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.27 | 0.03 | 8.63 | (8.28) | 20.79 | |
WIJ | WILLIS LEASE FIN | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.09 | 0.19 | 7.26 | (5.64) | 32.86 |
Trigano SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trigano price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trigano using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trigano charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Trigano SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Trigano SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Trigano SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trigano SA based on analysis of Trigano SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Trigano SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Trigano SA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Trigano SA
The number of cover stories for Trigano SA depends on current market conditions and Trigano SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trigano SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trigano SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Trigano SA Short Properties
Trigano SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trigano SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trigano SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trigano SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trigano SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Trigano Stock analysis
When running Trigano SA's price analysis, check to measure Trigano SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trigano SA is operating at the current time. Most of Trigano SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trigano SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trigano SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trigano SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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