Tron Group Stock Market Value
| TGRP Stock | USD 0.04 0.0002 0.50% |
| Symbol | TRON |
TRON 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TRON's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TRON.
| 06/28/2025 |
| 12/25/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in TRON on June 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TRON Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in TRON over 180 days. TRON is related to or competes with Telkom Indonesia, Koninklijke KPN, Koninklijke KPN, Elisa Oyj, Telenor ASA, Vodacom Group, and Telenor ASA. TRON Group Inc. operates as a mobile virtual network operator in Malaysia More
TRON Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TRON's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TRON Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 20.46 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0136 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 104.57 | |||
| Value At Risk | (24.32) | |||
| Potential Upside | 21.62 |
TRON Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TRON's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TRON's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TRON historical prices to predict the future TRON's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.023 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.267 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0094 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (4.49) |
TRON Group Backtested Returns
TRON Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0116, which indicates the firm had a -0.0116 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. TRON Group exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TRON's risk adjusted performance of 0.023, and Coefficient Of Variation of 5205.23 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0585, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning TRON are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, TRON is likely to outperform the market. At this point, TRON Group has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to validate TRON's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if TRON Group performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.
Auto-correlation | 0.11 |
Insignificant predictability
TRON Group has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TRON time series from 28th of June 2025 to 26th of September 2025 and 26th of September 2025 to 25th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TRON Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current TRON price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
TRON Group lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is TRON pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TRON's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TRON returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TRON has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
TRON regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TRON pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TRON pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TRON pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
TRON Lagged Returns
When evaluating TRON's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TRON pink sheet have on its future price. TRON autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TRON autocorrelation shows the relationship between TRON pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TRON Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with TRON
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if TRON position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TRON will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with TRON Pink Sheet
Moving against TRON Pink Sheet
| 0.81 | PTAIY | Astra International Tbk | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | TLK | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | PPERY | Bank Mandiri Persero | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | PBCRF | PT Bank Central | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to TRON could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace TRON when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back TRON - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling TRON Group to buy it.
The correlation of TRON is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as TRON moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if TRON Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for TRON can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for TRON Pink Sheet Analysis
When running TRON's price analysis, check to measure TRON's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TRON is operating at the current time. Most of TRON's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TRON's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TRON's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TRON to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.