Thornburg E Growth Fund Market Value

THCGX Fund  USD 32.65  0.15  0.46%   
Thornburg Core's market value is the price at which a share of Thornburg Core trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thornburg E Growth investors about its performance. Thornburg Core is trading at 32.65 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.46% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 32.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thornburg E Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thornburg Core over a given investment horizon. Check out Thornburg Core Correlation, Thornburg Core Volatility and Thornburg Core Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thornburg Core.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Thornburg Core's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thornburg Core is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thornburg Core's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Thornburg Core 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thornburg Core's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thornburg Core.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Thornburg Core on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thornburg E Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thornburg Core over 30 days. Thornburg Core is related to or competes with T Rowe, Artisan Emerging, Ab Bond, Vanguard Emerging, Black Oak, and Touchstone Sands. Under normal conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in small- and mid-capitalization compani... More

Thornburg Core Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thornburg Core's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thornburg E Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Thornburg Core Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thornburg Core's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thornburg Core's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thornburg Core historical prices to predict the future Thornburg Core's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.4032.6533.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.8832.1333.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.6732.9234.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.4831.9333.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thornburg Core. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thornburg Core's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thornburg Core's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thornburg E Growth.

Thornburg E Growth Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Thornburg Mutual Fund to be very steady. Thornburg E Growth owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Thornburg E Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Thornburg Core's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0925, coefficient of variation of 862.29, and Semi Deviation of 1.05 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The entity has a beta of 1.33, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Thornburg Core will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.96  

Excellent predictability

Thornburg E Growth has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thornburg Core time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thornburg E Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.96 indicates that 96.0% of current Thornburg Core price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.96
Spearman Rank Test0.9
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.56

Thornburg E Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Thornburg Core mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thornburg Core's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thornburg Core returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thornburg Core has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Thornburg Core regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thornburg Core mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thornburg Core mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thornburg Core mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Thornburg Core Lagged Returns

When evaluating Thornburg Core's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thornburg Core mutual fund have on its future price. Thornburg Core autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thornburg Core autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thornburg Core mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thornburg E Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Thornburg Mutual Fund

Thornburg Core financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thornburg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thornburg with respect to the benefits of owning Thornburg Core security.
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