Thermador Groupe (France) Market Value

THEP Stock  EUR 68.90  0.90  1.29%   
Thermador Groupe's market value is the price at which a share of Thermador Groupe trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thermador Groupe SA investors about its performance. Thermador Groupe is trading at 68.90 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 1.29% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 69.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thermador Groupe SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thermador Groupe over a given investment horizon. Check out Thermador Groupe Correlation, Thermador Groupe Volatility and Thermador Groupe Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thermador Groupe.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Thermador Groupe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thermador Groupe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thermador Groupe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Thermador Groupe 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thermador Groupe's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thermador Groupe.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Thermador Groupe on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thermador Groupe SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thermador Groupe over 360 days. Thermador Groupe is related to or competes with Stef SA, Robertet, Grard Perrier, Aubay Socit, and Virbac SA. Thermador Groupe SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution business in France More

Thermador Groupe Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thermador Groupe's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thermador Groupe SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Thermador Groupe Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thermador Groupe's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thermador Groupe's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thermador Groupe historical prices to predict the future Thermador Groupe's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.4568.9070.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.9854.4375.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.9065.3566.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.5272.2876.05
Details

Thermador Groupe Backtested Returns

Thermador Groupe owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which indicates the firm had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Thermador Groupe SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Thermador Groupe's Variance of 2.07, coefficient of variation of (800.30), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.2, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Thermador Groupe's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Thermador Groupe is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Thermador Groupe has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to validate Thermador Groupe's standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Thermador Groupe performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

Thermador Groupe SA has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thermador Groupe time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thermador Groupe price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Thermador Groupe price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance20.98

Thermador Groupe lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Thermador Groupe stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thermador Groupe's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thermador Groupe returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thermador Groupe has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Thermador Groupe regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thermador Groupe stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thermador Groupe stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thermador Groupe stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Thermador Groupe Lagged Returns

When evaluating Thermador Groupe's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thermador Groupe stock have on its future price. Thermador Groupe autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thermador Groupe autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thermador Groupe stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thermador Groupe SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Thermador Stock

Thermador Groupe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thermador Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thermador with respect to the benefits of owning Thermador Groupe security.