Thompson Midcap Fund Market Value
| THPMX Fund | USD 15.08 0.17 1.14% |
| Symbol | Thompson |
Thompson Midcap 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thompson Midcap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thompson Midcap.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Thompson Midcap on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thompson Midcap Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thompson Midcap over 30 days. Thompson Midcap is related to or competes with Thompson Largecap, Thompson Bond, Crm Small/mid, Perkins Select, and Hodges Small. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets plus any borrowing for investment purposes in a diversif... More
Thompson Midcap Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thompson Midcap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thompson Midcap Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.8988 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0032 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.86 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.44) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.68 |
Thompson Midcap Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thompson Midcap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thompson Midcap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thompson Midcap historical prices to predict the future Thompson Midcap's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1046 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0035 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1107 |
Thompson Midcap Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Thompson Mutual Fund to be very steady. Thompson Midcap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Thompson Midcap Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Thompson Midcap's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1046, semi deviation of 0.7603, and Coefficient Of Variation of 750.4 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The entity has a beta of 1.12, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Thompson Midcap returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Thompson Midcap is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.61 |
Good predictability
Thompson Midcap Fund has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thompson Midcap time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thompson Midcap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Thompson Midcap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.61 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
Thompson Midcap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Thompson Midcap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thompson Midcap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thompson Midcap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thompson Midcap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Thompson Midcap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thompson Midcap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thompson Midcap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thompson Midcap mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Thompson Midcap Lagged Returns
When evaluating Thompson Midcap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thompson Midcap mutual fund have on its future price. Thompson Midcap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thompson Midcap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thompson Midcap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thompson Midcap Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Thompson Mutual Fund
Thompson Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thompson Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thompson with respect to the benefits of owning Thompson Midcap security.
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