Gentherm Stock Market Value
| THRM Stock | USD 42.63 0.97 2.33% |
| Symbol | Gentherm |
Is Automobiles and Trucks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gentherm. If investors know Gentherm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gentherm listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Gentherm is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gentherm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gentherm's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gentherm's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gentherm's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gentherm's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gentherm's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gentherm is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gentherm's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Gentherm 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gentherm's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gentherm.
| 12/03/2022 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Gentherm on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gentherm or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gentherm over 720 days. Gentherm is related to or competes with Monro Muffler, Motorcar Parts, Standard, Stoneridge, Douglas Dynamics, Dorman Products, and Superior Industries. Gentherm Incorporated designs, develops, manufactures, and markets thermal management technologies More
Gentherm Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gentherm's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gentherm upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.19) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.02 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.15 |
Gentherm Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gentherm's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gentherm's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gentherm historical prices to predict the future Gentherm's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.22) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.49) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.8913 |
Gentherm Backtested Returns
Gentherm holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.13, which attests that the entity had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gentherm exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gentherm's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), market risk adjusted performance of 0.9013, and Standard Deviation of 1.86 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.28, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Gentherm are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Gentherm is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Gentherm has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to check out Gentherm's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Gentherm performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.35 |
Below average predictability
Gentherm has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gentherm time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gentherm price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Gentherm price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.35 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 16.44 |
Gentherm lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Gentherm stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gentherm's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gentherm returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gentherm has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Gentherm regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gentherm stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gentherm stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gentherm stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Gentherm Lagged Returns
When evaluating Gentherm's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gentherm stock have on its future price. Gentherm autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gentherm autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gentherm stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gentherm.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Gentherm technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.