Gentherm Stock Performance

THRM Stock  USD 31.96  3.88  10.83%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.71, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Gentherm will likely underperform. At this point, Gentherm has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to check out Gentherm's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Gentherm performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Gentherm has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(10.83)
Five Day Return
(14.06)
Year To Date Return
(13.22)
Ten Year Return
(19.58)
All Time Return
(22.52)
Last Split Factor
1:5
Last Split Date
1999-01-28
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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12/30/2025
8
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01/07/2026
9
Estimating The Fair Value Of Gentherm Incorporated
01/20/2026
10
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01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow149.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-53.5 M

Gentherm Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,750  in Gentherm on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (554.00) from holding Gentherm or give up 14.77% of portfolio value over 90 days. Gentherm is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.5095% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Gentherm, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gentherm is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.36 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Gentherm Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Gentherm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 31.96 90 days 31.96 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gentherm to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Gentherm probability density function shows the probability of Gentherm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.71 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gentherm will likely underperform. Additionally Gentherm has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gentherm Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gentherm

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gentherm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.002.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.002.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.1935.2937.38
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.5045.6050.62
Details

Gentherm Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gentherm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gentherm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gentherm, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gentherm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.71
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Gentherm Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gentherm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gentherm can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gentherm generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gentherm is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Gentherm, Modines Performance Technologies Business to Merge - marketscreener.com

Gentherm Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gentherm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gentherm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gentherm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments134.1 M

Gentherm Fundamentals Growth

Gentherm Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Gentherm, and Gentherm fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Gentherm Stock performance.

About Gentherm Performance

By examining Gentherm's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Gentherm's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Gentherm is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 68.54  40.53 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.12 

Things to note about Gentherm performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gentherm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Gentherm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gentherm generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gentherm is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Gentherm, Modines Performance Technologies Business to Merge - marketscreener.com
Evaluating Gentherm's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Gentherm's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Gentherm's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Gentherm's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Gentherm's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Gentherm's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Gentherm's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Gentherm's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Gentherm's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Gentherm's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Gentherm's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Gentherm is a strong investment it is important to analyze Gentherm's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Gentherm's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Gentherm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Gentherm. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.
To learn how to invest in Gentherm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gentherm guide.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Will Automotive Parts & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Gentherm diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gentherm. If investors know Gentherm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Gentherm data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Earnings Share
0.99
Revenue Per Share
47.855
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.041
Return On Assets
0.0488
Understanding Gentherm requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Gentherm's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Gentherm's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Gentherm's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gentherm's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gentherm is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Gentherm's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.