Transamerica Intermediate Muni Fund Market Value
| TIMUX Fund | USD 10.83 0.04 0.37% |
| Symbol | Transamerica |
Transamerica Intermediate 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Transamerica Intermediate's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Transamerica Intermediate.
| 05/30/2024 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Transamerica Intermediate on May 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Transamerica Intermediate Muni or generate 0.0% return on investment in Transamerica Intermediate over 180 days. Transamerica Intermediate is related to or competes with Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Capital, Transamerica Growth, Transamerica Large, Transamerica Large, and Transamerica Large. Under normal circumstances, the funds sub-adviser invests at least 80 percent of the funds net assets in municipal fixed... More
Transamerica Intermediate Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Transamerica Intermediate's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Transamerica Intermediate Muni upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.3431 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.49) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.37) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3707 |
Transamerica Intermediate Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Transamerica Intermediate's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Transamerica Intermediate's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Transamerica Intermediate historical prices to predict the future Transamerica Intermediate's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0242 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.013 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.33) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Transamerica Intermediate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Transamerica Intermediate Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Transamerica Mutual Fund to be very steady. Transamerica Intermediate owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0688, which indicates the fund had a 0.0688% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Transamerica Intermediate Muni, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Transamerica Intermediate's Coefficient Of Variation of 1623.76, risk adjusted performance of 0.0242, and Semi Deviation of 0.188 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0162%. The entity has a beta of -0.0733, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Transamerica Intermediate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Transamerica Intermediate is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.33 |
Poor reverse predictability
Transamerica Intermediate Muni has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Transamerica Intermediate time series from 30th of May 2024 to 28th of August 2024 and 28th of August 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Transamerica Intermediate price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Transamerica Intermediate price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.33 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.42 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Transamerica Intermediate lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Transamerica Intermediate mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Transamerica Intermediate's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Transamerica Intermediate returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Transamerica Intermediate has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Transamerica Intermediate regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Transamerica Intermediate mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Transamerica Intermediate mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Transamerica Intermediate mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Transamerica Intermediate Lagged Returns
When evaluating Transamerica Intermediate's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Transamerica Intermediate mutual fund have on its future price. Transamerica Intermediate autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Transamerica Intermediate autocorrelation shows the relationship between Transamerica Intermediate mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Transamerica Intermediate Muni.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Transamerica Mutual Fund
Transamerica Intermediate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transamerica Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transamerica with respect to the benefits of owning Transamerica Intermediate security.
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