Templeton Global Balanced Fund Market Value
| TINCX Fund | USD 2.42 0.01 0.41% |
| Symbol | Templeton |
Templeton Global 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Templeton Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Templeton Global.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 01/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Templeton Global on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Templeton Global Balanced or generate 0.0% return on investment in Templeton Global over 30 days. Templeton Global is related to or competes with Ab Select, Old Westbury, Greenspring Fund, Locorr Dynamic, Small Cap, and Dreyfusstandish Global. The fund invests in a diversified portfolio of debt and equity securities worldwide More
Templeton Global Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Templeton Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Templeton Global Balanced upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.86 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.19) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.8368 |
Templeton Global Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Templeton Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Templeton Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Templeton Global historical prices to predict the future Templeton Global's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.32) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Templeton Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Templeton Global Balanced Backtested Returns
Templeton Global Balanced owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which indicates the fund had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Templeton Global Balanced exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Templeton Global's Variance of 0.3262, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,204) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.18, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Templeton Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Templeton Global is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.64 |
Very good reverse predictability
Templeton Global Balanced has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Templeton Global time series from 17th of December 2024 to 1st of January 2025 and 1st of January 2025 to 16th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Templeton Global Balanced price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Templeton Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Templeton Global Balanced lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Templeton Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Templeton Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Templeton Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Templeton Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Templeton Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Templeton Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Templeton Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Templeton Global mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Templeton Global Lagged Returns
When evaluating Templeton Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Templeton Global mutual fund have on its future price. Templeton Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Templeton Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Templeton Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Templeton Global Balanced.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Templeton Mutual Fund
Templeton Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Templeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Templeton with respect to the benefits of owning Templeton Global security.
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