Tokyo Electric Power Stock Market Value

TKECF Stock  USD 3.61  0.04  1.12%   
Tokyo Electric's market value is the price at which a share of Tokyo Electric trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tokyo Electric Power investors about its performance. Tokyo Electric is trading at 3.61 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 1.12% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tokyo Electric Power and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tokyo Electric over a given investment horizon. Check out Tokyo Electric Correlation, Tokyo Electric Volatility and Tokyo Electric Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tokyo Electric.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tokyo Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tokyo Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tokyo Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tokyo Electric 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tokyo Electric's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tokyo Electric.
0.00
12/01/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tokyo Electric on December 1, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tokyo Electric Power or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tokyo Electric over 360 days. Tokyo Electric is related to or competes with Constellation Energy, and Orsted A/S. Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated generates, transmits, distributes, and retails electric power in Jap... More

Tokyo Electric Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tokyo Electric's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tokyo Electric Power upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tokyo Electric Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tokyo Electric's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tokyo Electric's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tokyo Electric historical prices to predict the future Tokyo Electric's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tokyo Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.083.617.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.226.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.527.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.613.613.61
Details

Tokyo Electric Power Backtested Returns

Tokyo Electric Power owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0507, which indicates the firm had a -0.0507% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Tokyo Electric Power exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Tokyo Electric's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), coefficient of variation of (1,438), and Variance of 12.6 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.91, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Tokyo Electric returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tokyo Electric is expected to follow. At this point, Tokyo Electric Power has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to validate Tokyo Electric's kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Tokyo Electric Power performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.49  

Modest reverse predictability

Tokyo Electric Power has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tokyo Electric time series from 1st of December 2023 to 29th of May 2024 and 29th of May 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tokyo Electric Power price movement. The serial correlation of -0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Tokyo Electric price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.49
Spearman Rank Test-0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.4

Tokyo Electric Power lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tokyo Electric pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tokyo Electric's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tokyo Electric returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tokyo Electric has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tokyo Electric regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tokyo Electric pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tokyo Electric pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tokyo Electric pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tokyo Electric Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tokyo Electric's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tokyo Electric pink sheet have on its future price. Tokyo Electric autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tokyo Electric autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tokyo Electric pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tokyo Electric Power.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Tokyo Pink Sheet

Tokyo Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tokyo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tokyo with respect to the benefits of owning Tokyo Electric security.