T S (Thailand) Market Value
| TMILL Stock | THB 3.10 0.04 1.31% |
| Symbol | TMILL |
T S 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to T S's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of T S.
| 09/04/2023 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in T S on September 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding T S Flour or generate 0.0% return on investment in T S over 450 days. T S is related to or competes with Thaifoods Group, Thai President, CK Power, Thai Metal, Country Group, SPCG Public, and Heng Leasing. T S Flour Mill Public Company Limited produces and distributes wheat flour in Thailand More
T S Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure T S's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess T S Flour upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.26) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.1 |
T S Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for T S's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as T S's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use T S historical prices to predict the future T S's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.50) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.43) |
T S Flour Backtested Returns
T S is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. T S Flour owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the company had a 0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have analyzed twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 14.02% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use T S Flour Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.42), risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Standard Deviation of 1.49 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. T S holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm has a beta of 0.19, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, T S's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding T S is expected to be smaller as well. Use T S Flour value at risk, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and period momentum indicator , to analyze future returns on T S Flour.
Auto-correlation | 0.20 |
Weak predictability
T S Flour has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between T S time series from 4th of September 2023 to 16th of April 2024 and 16th of April 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of T S Flour price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current T S price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.2 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.19 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.12 |
T S Flour lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is T S stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting T S's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of T S returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that T S has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
T S regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If T S stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if T S stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in T S stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
T S Lagged Returns
When evaluating T S's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of T S stock have on its future price. T S autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, T S autocorrelation shows the relationship between T S stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in T S Flour.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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T S financial ratios help investors to determine whether TMILL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TMILL with respect to the benefits of owning T S security.