Tethys Petroleum Stock Market Value
| TPL Stock | CAD 1.26 0.22 14.86% |
| Symbol | Tethys |
Tethys Petroleum 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tethys Petroleum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tethys Petroleum.
| 12/02/2025 |
| 01/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Tethys Petroleum on December 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tethys Petroleum or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tethys Petroleum over 30 days. Tethys Petroleum is related to or competes with Questerre Energy, Bonterra Energy, Reconnaissance Energy, Condor Energies, Gran Tierra, Pulse Seismic, and Yangarra Resources. Tethys Petroleum Limited acquires, explores for, and develops crude oil and natural gas fields in Kazakhstan More
Tethys Petroleum Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tethys Petroleum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tethys Petroleum upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 7.06 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0327 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 31.02 | |||
| Value At Risk | (10.22) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.71 |
Tethys Petroleum Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tethys Petroleum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tethys Petroleum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tethys Petroleum historical prices to predict the future Tethys Petroleum's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0389 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2045 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0275 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3069 |
Tethys Petroleum Backtested Returns
Tethys Petroleum appears to be extremely dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Tethys Petroleum owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0426, which indicates the firm had a 0.0426 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Tethys Petroleum, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Tethys Petroleum's Coefficient Of Variation of 2346.65, semi deviation of 4.97, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0389 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Tethys Petroleum holds a performance score of 3. The entity has a beta of 0.79, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tethys Petroleum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tethys Petroleum is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Tethys Petroleum's rate of daily change, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Tethys Petroleum's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.01 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Tethys Petroleum has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tethys Petroleum time series from 2nd of December 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 1st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tethys Petroleum price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Tethys Petroleum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.01 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.59 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Tethys Petroleum lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Tethys Petroleum stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tethys Petroleum's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tethys Petroleum returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tethys Petroleum has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Tethys Petroleum regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tethys Petroleum stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tethys Petroleum stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tethys Petroleum stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Tethys Petroleum Lagged Returns
When evaluating Tethys Petroleum's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tethys Petroleum stock have on its future price. Tethys Petroleum autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tethys Petroleum autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tethys Petroleum stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tethys Petroleum.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Tethys Stock Analysis
When running Tethys Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Tethys Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tethys Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Tethys Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tethys Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tethys Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tethys Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.