Tsingtao Brewery Co Stock Market Value

TSGTY Stock  USD 33.20  0.80  2.47%   
Tsingtao Brewery's market value is the price at which a share of Tsingtao Brewery trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tsingtao Brewery Co investors about its performance. Tsingtao Brewery is trading at 33.20 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 2.47 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 32.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tsingtao Brewery Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tsingtao Brewery over a given investment horizon. Check out Tsingtao Brewery Correlation, Tsingtao Brewery Volatility and Tsingtao Brewery Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tsingtao Brewery.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tsingtao Brewery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tsingtao Brewery is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tsingtao Brewery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tsingtao Brewery 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tsingtao Brewery's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tsingtao Brewery.
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10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tsingtao Brewery on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tsingtao Brewery Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tsingtao Brewery over 30 days. Tsingtao Brewery is related to or competes with Jiangsu Expressway, Tsingtao Brewery, TravelSky Technology, Air China, and China Resources. Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, wholesale, an... More

Tsingtao Brewery Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tsingtao Brewery's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tsingtao Brewery Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tsingtao Brewery Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tsingtao Brewery's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tsingtao Brewery's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tsingtao Brewery historical prices to predict the future Tsingtao Brewery's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tsingtao Brewery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.2733.2038.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.3928.3233.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.1833.1138.04
Details

Tsingtao Brewery Backtested Returns

Tsingtao Brewery appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Tsingtao Brewery owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0741, which indicates the firm had a 0.0741% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Tsingtao Brewery Co, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Tsingtao Brewery's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0592, semi deviation of 3.64, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1503.76 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Tsingtao Brewery holds a performance score of 5. The entity has a beta of 0.63, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tsingtao Brewery's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tsingtao Brewery is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Tsingtao Brewery's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Tsingtao Brewery's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Tsingtao Brewery Co has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tsingtao Brewery time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tsingtao Brewery price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Tsingtao Brewery price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.22

Tsingtao Brewery lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tsingtao Brewery pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tsingtao Brewery's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tsingtao Brewery returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tsingtao Brewery has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Tsingtao Brewery regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tsingtao Brewery pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tsingtao Brewery pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tsingtao Brewery pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tsingtao Brewery Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tsingtao Brewery's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tsingtao Brewery pink sheet have on its future price. Tsingtao Brewery autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tsingtao Brewery autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tsingtao Brewery pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tsingtao Brewery Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Tsingtao Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Tsingtao Brewery's price analysis, check to measure Tsingtao Brewery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tsingtao Brewery is operating at the current time. Most of Tsingtao Brewery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tsingtao Brewery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tsingtao Brewery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tsingtao Brewery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.