Touchstone Small Cap Fund Market Value

TVOYX Fund  USD 41.37  0.63  1.55%   
Touchstone Small's market value is the price at which a share of Touchstone Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Touchstone Small Cap investors about its performance. Touchstone Small is trading at 41.37 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.55% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 40.74.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Touchstone Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Touchstone Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Touchstone Small Correlation, Touchstone Small Volatility and Touchstone Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Touchstone Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Touchstone Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Touchstone Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Touchstone Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Touchstone Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Touchstone Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Touchstone Small.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Touchstone Small on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Touchstone Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Touchstone Small over 720 days. Touchstone Small is related to or competes with Us Global, T Rowe, Nuveen Global, The Hartford, Rbb Fund, Dodge Cox, and Morgan Stanley. The fund invests, under normal market conditions, at least 80 percent of its assets in common stocks of companies with s... More

Touchstone Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Touchstone Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Touchstone Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Touchstone Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Touchstone Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Touchstone Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Touchstone Small historical prices to predict the future Touchstone Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Touchstone Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.2441.3742.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.6540.7841.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.9840.1141.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.0639.3341.60
Details

Touchstone Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Touchstone Mutual Fund to be very steady. Touchstone Small Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Touchstone Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Touchstone Small's Semi Deviation of 0.6656, risk adjusted performance of 0.0983, and Coefficient Of Variation of 803.48 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The entity has a beta of 1.33, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Touchstone Small will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.28  

Weak reverse predictability

Touchstone Small Cap has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Touchstone Small time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Touchstone Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Touchstone Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.7

Touchstone Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Touchstone Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Touchstone Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Touchstone Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Touchstone Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Touchstone Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Touchstone Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Touchstone Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Touchstone Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Touchstone Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Touchstone Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Touchstone Small mutual fund have on its future price. Touchstone Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Touchstone Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Touchstone Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Touchstone Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Touchstone Mutual Fund

Touchstone Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Touchstone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Touchstone with respect to the benefits of owning Touchstone Small security.
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