Strategic Allocation Servative Fund Market Value

TWSCX Fund  USD 5.75  0.01  0.17%   
Strategic Allocation's market value is the price at which a share of Strategic Allocation trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Strategic Allocation Servative investors about its performance. Strategic Allocation is trading at 5.75 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.17 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 5.74.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Strategic Allocation Servative and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Strategic Allocation over a given investment horizon. Check out Strategic Allocation Correlation, Strategic Allocation Volatility and Strategic Allocation Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Strategic Allocation.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Strategic Allocation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Strategic Allocation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Strategic Allocation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Strategic Allocation 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Strategic Allocation's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Strategic Allocation.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Strategic Allocation on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Strategic Allocation Servative or generate 0.0% return on investment in Strategic Allocation over 30 days. Strategic Allocation is related to or competes with Strategic Allocation, Strategic Allocation, Value Fund, International Growth, and Balanced Fund. The funds asset allocation strategy diversifies investments among equity securities, bonds and money market instruments More

Strategic Allocation Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Strategic Allocation's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Strategic Allocation Servative upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Strategic Allocation Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Strategic Allocation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Strategic Allocation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Strategic Allocation historical prices to predict the future Strategic Allocation's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Strategic Allocation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.445.756.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.435.746.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.425.726.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.675.745.80
Details

Strategic Allocation Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Strategic Mutual Fund to be very steady. Strategic Allocation owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.065, which indicates the fund had a 0.065% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Strategic Allocation Servative, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Strategic Allocation's Coefficient Of Variation of 1157.44, semi deviation of 0.2359, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0516 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0199%. The entity has a beta of 0.0072, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Strategic Allocation's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Strategic Allocation is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Strategic Allocation Servative has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Strategic Allocation time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Strategic Allocation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Strategic Allocation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test-0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Strategic Allocation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Strategic Allocation mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Strategic Allocation's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Strategic Allocation returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Strategic Allocation has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Strategic Allocation regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Strategic Allocation mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Strategic Allocation mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Strategic Allocation mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Strategic Allocation Lagged Returns

When evaluating Strategic Allocation's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Strategic Allocation mutual fund have on its future price. Strategic Allocation autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Strategic Allocation autocorrelation shows the relationship between Strategic Allocation mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Strategic Allocation Servative.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Strategic Mutual Fund

Strategic Allocation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Strategic Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Strategic with respect to the benefits of owning Strategic Allocation security.
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