US GASOLINE (Mexico) Market Value

UGA Etf  MXN 533.00  0.00  0.00%   
US GASOLINE's market value is the price at which a share of US GASOLINE trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US GASOLINE FUND investors about its performance. US GASOLINE is trading at 533.00 as of the 18th of December 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 533.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US GASOLINE FUND and determine expected loss or profit from investing in US GASOLINE over a given investment horizon. Check out US GASOLINE Correlation, US GASOLINE Volatility and US GASOLINE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on US GASOLINE.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between US GASOLINE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US GASOLINE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US GASOLINE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

US GASOLINE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to US GASOLINE's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of US GASOLINE.
0.00
11/18/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in US GASOLINE on November 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US GASOLINE FUND or generate 0.0% return on investment in US GASOLINE over 30 days. US GASOLINE is related to or competes with IShares Trust, Vanguard Specialized, First Trust, IShares Trust, Select Sector, and IShares Trust. More

US GASOLINE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure US GASOLINE's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US GASOLINE FUND upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

US GASOLINE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for US GASOLINE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as US GASOLINE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use US GASOLINE historical prices to predict the future US GASOLINE's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
533.00533.00533.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
533.00533.00533.00
Details

US GASOLINE FUND Backtested Returns

We have found three technical indicators for US GASOLINE, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and US GASOLINE are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.00  

No correlation between past and present

US GASOLINE FUND has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between US GASOLINE time series from 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024 and 3rd of December 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US GASOLINE FUND price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current US GASOLINE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

US GASOLINE FUND lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is US GASOLINE etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting US GASOLINE's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of US GASOLINE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that US GASOLINE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

US GASOLINE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If US GASOLINE etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if US GASOLINE etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in US GASOLINE etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

US GASOLINE Lagged Returns

When evaluating US GASOLINE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of US GASOLINE etf have on its future price. US GASOLINE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, US GASOLINE autocorrelation shows the relationship between US GASOLINE etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US GASOLINE FUND.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in UGA Etf

US GASOLINE financial ratios help investors to determine whether UGA Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UGA with respect to the benefits of owning US GASOLINE security.