Yieldmax Ultra Option Etf Market Value
| ULTY Etf | 37.54 0.21 0.56% |
| Symbol | YieldMax |
The market value of YieldMax Ultra Option is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YieldMax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YieldMax Ultra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YieldMax Ultra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YieldMax Ultra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YieldMax Ultra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YieldMax Ultra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YieldMax Ultra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YieldMax Ultra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
YieldMax Ultra 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to YieldMax Ultra's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of YieldMax Ultra.
| 12/03/2025 |
| 01/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in YieldMax Ultra on December 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding YieldMax Ultra Option or generate 0.0% return on investment in YieldMax Ultra over 30 days. YieldMax Ultra is related to or competes with IShares MSCI, Global X, Capital Group, First Trust, IShares Morningstar, IShares MSCI, and Franklin International. More
YieldMax Ultra Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure YieldMax Ultra's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess YieldMax Ultra Option upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.26) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.85 |
YieldMax Ultra Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for YieldMax Ultra's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as YieldMax Ultra's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use YieldMax Ultra historical prices to predict the future YieldMax Ultra's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.31) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.44) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.18 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of YieldMax Ultra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
YieldMax Ultra Option Backtested Returns
YieldMax Ultra Option shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.21, which attests that the etf had a -0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. YieldMax Ultra Option exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out YieldMax Ultra's Standard Deviation of 1.48, market risk adjusted performance of 1.19, and Mean Deviation of 1.21 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The entity maintains a market beta of -0.28, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning YieldMax Ultra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, YieldMax Ultra is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.59 |
Modest predictability
YieldMax Ultra Option has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between YieldMax Ultra time series from 3rd of December 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 2nd of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of YieldMax Ultra Option price movement. The serial correlation of 0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current YieldMax Ultra price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.59 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.24 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.21 |
YieldMax Ultra Option lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is YieldMax Ultra etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting YieldMax Ultra's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of YieldMax Ultra returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that YieldMax Ultra has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
YieldMax Ultra regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If YieldMax Ultra etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if YieldMax Ultra etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in YieldMax Ultra etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
YieldMax Ultra Lagged Returns
When evaluating YieldMax Ultra's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of YieldMax Ultra etf have on its future price. YieldMax Ultra autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, YieldMax Ultra autocorrelation shows the relationship between YieldMax Ultra etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in YieldMax Ultra Option.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Check out YieldMax Ultra Correlation, YieldMax Ultra Volatility and YieldMax Ultra Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on YieldMax Ultra. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
YieldMax Ultra technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.