AFLAC INC 4 Market Value

001055AR3   84.03  4.00  5.00%   
AFLAC's market value is the price at which a share of AFLAC trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AFLAC INC 4 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AFLAC INC 4 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AFLAC over a given investment horizon.
Check out AFLAC Correlation, AFLAC Volatility and AFLAC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AFLAC.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AFLAC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AFLAC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AFLAC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AFLAC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AFLAC's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AFLAC.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AFLAC on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AFLAC INC 4 or generate 0.0% return on investment in AFLAC over 30 days. AFLAC is related to or competes with Fortress Transp, FTAI Aviation, Vestis, Willscot Mobile, Alvotech, and Air Lease. More

AFLAC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AFLAC's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AFLAC INC 4 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AFLAC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AFLAC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AFLAC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AFLAC historical prices to predict the future AFLAC's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.6084.0385.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.1168.5492.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79.4980.9182.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.8280.3285.81
Details

AFLAC INC 4 Backtested Returns

At this point, AFLAC is very steady. AFLAC INC 4 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0202, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0202% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for AFLAC INC 4, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm AFLAC's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0376, mean deviation of 1.84, and Semi Deviation of 3.19 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0289%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.49, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AFLAC's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AFLAC is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.03  

Virtually no predictability

AFLAC INC 4 has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AFLAC time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AFLAC INC 4 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current AFLAC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.03
Spearman Rank Test-0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.11

AFLAC INC 4 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AFLAC bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AFLAC's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AFLAC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AFLAC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AFLAC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AFLAC bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AFLAC bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AFLAC bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AFLAC Lagged Returns

When evaluating AFLAC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AFLAC bond have on its future price. AFLAC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AFLAC autocorrelation shows the relationship between AFLAC bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AFLAC INC 4.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in AFLAC Bond

AFLAC financial ratios help investors to determine whether AFLAC Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AFLAC with respect to the benefits of owning AFLAC security.