AGL CAP P Market Value

001192AH6   102.71  0.30  0.29%   
001192AH6's market value is the price at which a share of 001192AH6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AGL CAP P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AGL CAP P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 001192AH6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 001192AH6 Correlation, 001192AH6 Volatility and 001192AH6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 001192AH6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 001192AH6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 001192AH6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 001192AH6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

001192AH6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 001192AH6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 001192AH6.
0.00
01/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 001192AH6 on January 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AGL CAP P or generate 0.0% return on investment in 001192AH6 over 30 days. 001192AH6 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, IShares Global, Caterpillar, 3M, Microsoft, Intel, and Dupont De. More

001192AH6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 001192AH6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AGL CAP P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

001192AH6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 001192AH6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 001192AH6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 001192AH6 historical prices to predict the future 001192AH6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.79102.71103.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.74102.66103.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.80100.71101.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.69101.57103.45
Details

AGL CAP P Backtested Returns

AGL CAP P secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0527, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0527 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. AGL CAP P exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 001192AH6's Mean Deviation of 0.7175, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Variance of 0.8441 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0121, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 001192AH6 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 001192AH6 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.3  

Weak reverse predictability

AGL CAP P has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 001192AH6 time series from 31st of January 2025 to 15th of February 2025 and 15th of February 2025 to 2nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AGL CAP P price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current 001192AH6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.74
001192AH6 Returns001192AH6 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away001192AH6 Returns001192AH6 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

AGL CAP P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 001192AH6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 001192AH6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 001192AH6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 001192AH6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 18Feb 20Feb 22Feb 24Feb 26Feb 28Mar-2%-1%0%1%2%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

001192AH6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 001192AH6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 001192AH6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 001192AH6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 18Feb 20Feb 22Feb 24Feb 26Feb 28Mar101.0101.2101.4101.6101.8102.0102.2102.4
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

001192AH6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 001192AH6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 001192AH6 bond have on its future price. 001192AH6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 001192AH6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 001192AH6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AGL CAP P.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Jan 31FebFeb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28101.0101.5102.0102.5103.0
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 001192AH6 Bond

001192AH6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 001192AH6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 001192AH6 with respect to the benefits of owning 001192AH6 security.

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