AYR 525 Market Value
| 00928QAW1 | 75.24 23.26 23.61% |
| Symbol | 00928QAW1 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 00928QAW1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 00928QAW1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 00928QAW1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
00928QAW1 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 00928QAW1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 00928QAW1.
| 12/03/2022 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 00928QAW1 on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AYR 525 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 00928QAW1 over 720 days. 00928QAW1 is related to or competes with Western Copper, IPG Photonics, Old Republic, United Fire, Hanover Insurance, Maiden Holdings, and Eldorado Gold. More
00928QAW1 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 00928QAW1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AYR 525 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.22) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.13 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.7928 |
00928QAW1 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 00928QAW1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 00928QAW1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 00928QAW1 historical prices to predict the future 00928QAW1's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.62) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.04 |
00928QAW1 Backtested Returns
00928QAW1 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the bond had a -0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AYR 525 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 00928QAW1's Mean Deviation of 0.8275, risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Standard Deviation of 2.07 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 00928QAW1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 00928QAW1 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.02 |
Very weak reverse predictability
AYR 525 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 00928QAW1 time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 00928QAW1 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current 00928QAW1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.25 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 18.54 |
00928QAW1 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 00928QAW1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 00928QAW1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 00928QAW1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 00928QAW1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
00928QAW1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 00928QAW1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 00928QAW1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 00928QAW1 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
00928QAW1 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 00928QAW1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 00928QAW1 bond have on its future price. 00928QAW1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 00928QAW1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 00928QAW1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AYR 525.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 00928QAW1 Bond
00928QAW1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 00928QAW1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 00928QAW1 with respect to the benefits of owning 00928QAW1 security.