ALBERTSONS INC 75 Market Value

013092AA9   102.02  0.73  0.72%   
ALBERTSONS's market value is the price at which a share of ALBERTSONS trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ALBERTSONS INC 75 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ALBERTSONS INC 75 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ALBERTSONS over a given investment horizon.
Check out ALBERTSONS Correlation, ALBERTSONS Volatility and ALBERTSONS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ALBERTSONS.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ALBERTSONS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ALBERTSONS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ALBERTSONS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ALBERTSONS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ALBERTSONS's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ALBERTSONS.
0.00
12/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ALBERTSONS on December 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ALBERTSONS INC 75 or generate 0.0% return on investment in ALBERTSONS over 360 days. ALBERTSONS is related to or competes with Travelers Companies, GE Aerospace, Walmart, Pfizer, HP, 3M, and Merck. More

ALBERTSONS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ALBERTSONS's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ALBERTSONS INC 75 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ALBERTSONS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ALBERTSONS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ALBERTSONS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ALBERTSONS historical prices to predict the future ALBERTSONS's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.72102.02102.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.5596.85112.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
101.35101.64101.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
101.10101.85102.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ALBERTSONS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ALBERTSONS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ALBERTSONS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ALBERTSONS INC 75.

ALBERTSONS INC 75 Backtested Returns

At this point, ALBERTSONS is very steady. ALBERTSONS INC 75 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0899, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0899% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for ALBERTSONS, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm ALBERTSONS's coefficient of variation of 4906.47, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0266%. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0767, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ALBERTSONS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ALBERTSONS is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.14  

Insignificant predictability

ALBERTSONS INC 75 has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ALBERTSONS time series from 9th of December 2023 to 6th of June 2024 and 6th of June 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ALBERTSONS INC 75 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current ALBERTSONS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

ALBERTSONS INC 75 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ALBERTSONS bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ALBERTSONS's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ALBERTSONS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ALBERTSONS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ALBERTSONS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ALBERTSONS bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ALBERTSONS bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ALBERTSONS bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ALBERTSONS Lagged Returns

When evaluating ALBERTSONS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ALBERTSONS bond have on its future price. ALBERTSONS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ALBERTSONS autocorrelation shows the relationship between ALBERTSONS bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ALBERTSONS INC 75.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in ALBERTSONS Bond

ALBERTSONS financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALBERTSONS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALBERTSONS with respect to the benefits of owning ALBERTSONS security.