Arconic 59 percent Market Value
| 013817AJ0 | 102.90 1.31 1.29% |
| Symbol | Arconic |
Arconic 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arconic's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arconic.
| 10/30/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Arconic on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arconic 59 percent or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arconic over 30 days. Arconic is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Bank of America, GE Aerospace, Dupont De, International Business, and McDonalds. More
Arconic Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arconic's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arconic 59 percent upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.79) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.7542 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.1857 |
Arconic Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arconic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arconic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arconic historical prices to predict the future Arconic's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.62) |
Arconic 59 percent Backtested Returns
Arconic 59 percent secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Arconic 59 percent exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Arconic's risk adjusted performance of (0.15), and Mean Deviation of 0.1359 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0676, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Arconic's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Arconic is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.67 |
Good predictability
Arconic 59 percent has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arconic time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arconic 59 percent price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Arconic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.67 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.03 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
Arconic 59 percent lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Arconic bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Arconic's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Arconic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Arconic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Arconic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Arconic bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Arconic bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Arconic bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Arconic Lagged Returns
When evaluating Arconic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Arconic bond have on its future price. Arconic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Arconic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Arconic bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Arconic 59 percent.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Arconic Bond
Arconic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arconic Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arconic with respect to the benefits of owning Arconic security.