AMAZON INC 38 Market Value

023135AN6   99.50  0.40  0.40%   
AMAZON's market value is the price at which a share of AMAZON trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AMAZON INC 38 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AMAZON INC 38 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AMAZON over a given investment horizon.
Check out AMAZON Correlation, AMAZON Volatility and AMAZON Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AMAZON.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AMAZON's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMAZON is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMAZON's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AMAZON 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AMAZON's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AMAZON.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AMAZON on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMAZON INC 38 or generate 0.0% return on investment in AMAZON over 30 days. AMAZON is related to or competes with BorgWarner, Tesla, Dana, Brunswick, Gentex, Magna International, and Boston Properties. More

AMAZON Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AMAZON's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMAZON INC 38 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AMAZON Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AMAZON's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AMAZON's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AMAZON historical prices to predict the future AMAZON's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.2999.5099.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.0699.27109.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.2699.4699.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.3299.45100.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMAZON. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMAZON's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AMAZON's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AMAZON INC 38.

AMAZON INC 38 Backtested Returns

AMAZON INC 38 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0083, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0083% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AMAZON exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AMAZON's market risk adjusted performance of 1.11, and Variance of 0.1519 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0102, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AMAZON are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AMAZON is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.06  

Very weak reverse predictability

AMAZON INC 38 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AMAZON time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMAZON INC 38 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current AMAZON price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.06
Spearman Rank Test-0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.14

AMAZON INC 38 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AMAZON bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AMAZON's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AMAZON returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AMAZON has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AMAZON regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AMAZON bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AMAZON bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AMAZON bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AMAZON Lagged Returns

When evaluating AMAZON's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AMAZON bond have on its future price. AMAZON autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AMAZON autocorrelation shows the relationship between AMAZON bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AMAZON INC 38.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in AMAZON Bond

AMAZON financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMAZON Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMAZON with respect to the benefits of owning AMAZON security.