AAL 2875 11 JUL 34 Market Value

02379KAA2   80.38  0.00  0.00%   
02379KAA2's market value is the price at which a share of 02379KAA2 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AAL 2875 11 JUL 34 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AAL 2875 11 JUL 34 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 02379KAA2 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 02379KAA2 Correlation, 02379KAA2 Volatility and 02379KAA2 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 02379KAA2.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 02379KAA2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 02379KAA2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 02379KAA2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

02379KAA2 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 02379KAA2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 02379KAA2.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 02379KAA2 on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AAL 2875 11 JUL 34 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 02379KAA2 over 720 days. 02379KAA2 is related to or competes with ServiceNow, Sonida Senior, SunLink Health, EnVVeno Medical, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, BioNTech, and Kaltura. More

02379KAA2 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 02379KAA2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AAL 2875 11 JUL 34 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

02379KAA2 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 02379KAA2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 02379KAA2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 02379KAA2 historical prices to predict the future 02379KAA2's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.0880.3881.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.3171.6188.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.6878.9880.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.5186.6489.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 02379KAA2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 02379KAA2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 02379KAA2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AAL 2875 11.

AAL 2875 11 Backtested Returns

AAL 2875 11 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the bond had a -0.16% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. AAL 2875 11 JUL 34 exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 02379KAA2's Variance of 0.9577, mean deviation of 0.4304, and Information Ratio of (0.22) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0985, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 02379KAA2 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 02379KAA2 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.21  

Weak reverse predictability

AAL 2875 11 JUL 34 has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 02379KAA2 time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AAL 2875 11 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current 02379KAA2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.21
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.05

AAL 2875 11 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 02379KAA2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 02379KAA2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 02379KAA2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 02379KAA2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

02379KAA2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 02379KAA2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 02379KAA2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 02379KAA2 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

02379KAA2 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 02379KAA2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 02379KAA2 bond have on its future price. 02379KAA2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 02379KAA2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 02379KAA2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AAL 2875 11 JUL 34.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 02379KAA2 Bond

02379KAA2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 02379KAA2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 02379KAA2 with respect to the benefits of owning 02379KAA2 security.