AEP 595 01 NOV 32 Market Value

025537AW1   100.74  4.79  4.54%   
025537AW1's market value is the price at which a share of 025537AW1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AEP 595 01 NOV 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AEP 595 01 NOV 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 025537AW1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 025537AW1 Correlation, 025537AW1 Volatility and 025537AW1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 025537AW1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 025537AW1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 025537AW1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 025537AW1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

025537AW1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 025537AW1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 025537AW1.
0.00
06/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 025537AW1 on June 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AEP 595 01 NOV 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 025537AW1 over 180 days. 025537AW1 is related to or competes with American Airlines, Allegiant Travel, European Wax, Unilever PLC, Rocky Brands, SkyWest, and JetBlue Airways. More

025537AW1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 025537AW1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AEP 595 01 NOV 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

025537AW1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 025537AW1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 025537AW1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 025537AW1 historical prices to predict the future 025537AW1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.96100.74101.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.2499.02110.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 025537AW1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 025537AW1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 025537AW1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AEP 595 01.

AEP 595 01 Backtested Returns

AEP 595 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. AEP 595 01 NOV 32 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 025537AW1's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), mean deviation of 0.4477, and Variance of 0.4917 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0771, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 025537AW1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 025537AW1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.83  

Excellent reverse predictability

AEP 595 01 NOV 32 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 025537AW1 time series from 2nd of June 2024 to 31st of August 2024 and 31st of August 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AEP 595 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current 025537AW1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.83
Spearman Rank Test-0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.54

AEP 595 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 025537AW1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 025537AW1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 025537AW1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 025537AW1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

025537AW1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 025537AW1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 025537AW1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 025537AW1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

025537AW1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 025537AW1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 025537AW1 bond have on its future price. 025537AW1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 025537AW1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 025537AW1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AEP 595 01 NOV 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 025537AW1 Bond

025537AW1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 025537AW1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 025537AW1 with respect to the benefits of owning 025537AW1 security.