APACHE P 6 Market Value

037411AR6   103.71  0.98  0.95%   
APACHE's market value is the price at which a share of APACHE trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of APACHE P 6 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of APACHE P 6 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in APACHE over a given investment horizon.
Check out APACHE Correlation, APACHE Volatility and APACHE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on APACHE.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between APACHE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if APACHE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, APACHE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

APACHE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to APACHE's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of APACHE.
0.00
05/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in APACHE on May 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding APACHE P 6 or generate 0.0% return on investment in APACHE over 210 days. APACHE is related to or competes with Kura Sushi, Ryanair Holdings, Mesa Air, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, Dennys Corp, and Dine Brands. More

APACHE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure APACHE's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess APACHE P 6 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

APACHE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for APACHE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as APACHE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use APACHE historical prices to predict the future APACHE's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.87103.71104.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.8998.73114.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.2697.1097.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
94.88100.46106.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as APACHE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against APACHE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, APACHE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in APACHE P 6.

APACHE P 6 Backtested Returns

At this point, APACHE is very steady. APACHE P 6 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0308, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0308% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for APACHE, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm APACHE's coefficient of variation of 35085.59, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0329 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0259%. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning APACHE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, APACHE is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.59  

Good reverse predictability

APACHE P 6 has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between APACHE time series from 6th of May 2024 to 19th of August 2024 and 19th of August 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of APACHE P 6 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current APACHE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.59
Spearman Rank Test-0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.85

APACHE P 6 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is APACHE bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting APACHE's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of APACHE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that APACHE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

APACHE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If APACHE bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if APACHE bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in APACHE bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

APACHE Lagged Returns

When evaluating APACHE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of APACHE bond have on its future price. APACHE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, APACHE autocorrelation shows the relationship between APACHE bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in APACHE P 6.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in APACHE Bond

APACHE financial ratios help investors to determine whether APACHE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in APACHE with respect to the benefits of owning APACHE security.