ATO 575 15 OCT 52 Market Value

049560AY1   105.28  0.00  0.00%   
049560AY1's market value is the price at which a share of 049560AY1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ATO 575 15 OCT 52 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ATO 575 15 OCT 52 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 049560AY1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 049560AY1 Correlation, 049560AY1 Volatility and 049560AY1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 049560AY1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 049560AY1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 049560AY1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 049560AY1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

049560AY1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 049560AY1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 049560AY1.
0.00
11/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 049560AY1 on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ATO 575 15 OCT 52 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 049560AY1 over 30 days. 049560AY1 is related to or competes with Ainsworth Game, BJs Restaurants, Daily Journal, Afya, Relx PLC, and Udemy. More

049560AY1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 049560AY1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ATO 575 15 OCT 52 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

049560AY1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 049560AY1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 049560AY1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 049560AY1 historical prices to predict the future 049560AY1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.70105.28106.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.0987.67115.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.65104.23105.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.90104.84109.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 049560AY1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 049560AY1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 049560AY1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ATO 575 15.

ATO 575 15 Backtested Returns

ATO 575 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0395, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0395% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. ATO 575 15 OCT 52 exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 049560AY1's Mean Deviation of 1.32, risk adjusted performance of 0.0356, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2664.84 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.52, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 049560AY1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 049560AY1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.69  

Very good reverse predictability

ATO 575 15 OCT 52 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 049560AY1 time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ATO 575 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current 049560AY1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.69
Spearman Rank Test-0.9
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.6

ATO 575 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 049560AY1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 049560AY1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 049560AY1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 049560AY1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

049560AY1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 049560AY1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 049560AY1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 049560AY1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

049560AY1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 049560AY1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 049560AY1 bond have on its future price. 049560AY1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 049560AY1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 049560AY1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ATO 575 15 OCT 52.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 049560AY1 Bond

049560AY1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 049560AY1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 049560AY1 with respect to the benefits of owning 049560AY1 security.