AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING Market Value

053015AF0   81.43  1.57  1.89%   
AUTOMATIC's market value is the price at which a share of AUTOMATIC trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AUTOMATIC over a given investment horizon.
Check out AUTOMATIC Correlation, AUTOMATIC Volatility and AUTOMATIC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AUTOMATIC.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AUTOMATIC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AUTOMATIC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AUTOMATIC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AUTOMATIC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AUTOMATIC's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AUTOMATIC.
0.00
01/03/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AUTOMATIC on January 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING or generate 0.0% return on investment in AUTOMATIC over 30 days. AUTOMATIC is related to or competes with FlyExclusive,, Virgin Group, Lindblad Expeditions, Saia, Ihuman, LB Foster, and Toro. More

AUTOMATIC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AUTOMATIC's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AUTOMATIC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AUTOMATIC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AUTOMATIC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AUTOMATIC historical prices to predict the future AUTOMATIC's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.7381.4382.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.4468.1489.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.0980.7881.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.3382.1885.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AUTOMATIC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AUTOMATIC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AUTOMATIC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING.

AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING Backtested Returns

AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0521, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0521 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AUTOMATIC's mean deviation of 0.6697, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AUTOMATIC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AUTOMATIC is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.45  

Modest reverse predictability

AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AUTOMATIC time series from 3rd of January 2025 to 18th of January 2025 and 18th of January 2025 to 2nd of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current AUTOMATIC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.45
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.39

AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AUTOMATIC bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AUTOMATIC's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AUTOMATIC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AUTOMATIC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AUTOMATIC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AUTOMATIC bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AUTOMATIC bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AUTOMATIC bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AUTOMATIC Lagged Returns

When evaluating AUTOMATIC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AUTOMATIC bond have on its future price. AUTOMATIC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AUTOMATIC autocorrelation shows the relationship between AUTOMATIC bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in AUTOMATIC Bond

AUTOMATIC financial ratios help investors to determine whether AUTOMATIC Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AUTOMATIC with respect to the benefits of owning AUTOMATIC security.