BALN 3 15 SEP 50 Market Value

05523RAE7   66.01  0.14  0.21%   
05523RAE7's market value is the price at which a share of 05523RAE7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BALN 3 15 SEP 50 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BALN 3 15 SEP 50 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 05523RAE7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 05523RAE7 Correlation, 05523RAE7 Volatility and 05523RAE7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 05523RAE7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 05523RAE7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 05523RAE7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 05523RAE7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

05523RAE7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 05523RAE7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 05523RAE7.
0.00
04/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 7 months and 24 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 05523RAE7 on April 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BALN 3 15 SEP 50 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 05523RAE7 over 600 days. 05523RAE7 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

05523RAE7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 05523RAE7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BALN 3 15 SEP 50 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

05523RAE7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 05523RAE7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 05523RAE7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 05523RAE7 historical prices to predict the future 05523RAE7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.2066.0168.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.5165.3268.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.2065.0167.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.0367.6471.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 05523RAE7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 05523RAE7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 05523RAE7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BALN 3 15.

BALN 3 15 Backtested Returns

BALN 3 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0477, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0477% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. BALN 3 15 SEP 50 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 05523RAE7's Information Ratio of (0.06), mean deviation of 1.26, and Variance of 4.22 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 05523RAE7's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 05523RAE7 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.51  

Good reverse predictability

BALN 3 15 SEP 50 has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 05523RAE7 time series from 2nd of April 2023 to 27th of January 2024 and 27th of January 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BALN 3 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current 05523RAE7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.03

BALN 3 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 05523RAE7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 05523RAE7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 05523RAE7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 05523RAE7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

05523RAE7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 05523RAE7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 05523RAE7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 05523RAE7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

05523RAE7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 05523RAE7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 05523RAE7 bond have on its future price. 05523RAE7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 05523RAE7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 05523RAE7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BALN 3 15 SEP 50.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 05523RAE7 Bond

05523RAE7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 05523RAE7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 05523RAE7 with respect to the benefits of owning 05523RAE7 security.