BMO 125 15 SEP 26 Market Value

06368FAC3   91.24  2.87  3.05%   
06368FAC3's market value is the price at which a share of 06368FAC3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BMO 125 15 SEP 26 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BMO 125 15 SEP 26 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 06368FAC3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 06368FAC3 Correlation, 06368FAC3 Volatility and 06368FAC3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 06368FAC3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 06368FAC3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 06368FAC3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 06368FAC3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

06368FAC3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 06368FAC3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 06368FAC3.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 06368FAC3 on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BMO 125 15 SEP 26 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 06368FAC3 over 30 days. 06368FAC3 is related to or competes with Dream Finders, Monster Beverage, Cementos Pacasmayo, Parker Hannifin, Boston Beer, Keurig Dr, and Highway Holdings. More

06368FAC3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 06368FAC3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BMO 125 15 SEP 26 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

06368FAC3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 06368FAC3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 06368FAC3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 06368FAC3 historical prices to predict the future 06368FAC3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.7791.2491.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.7284.19100.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.0089.4789.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
88.9692.7596.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 06368FAC3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 06368FAC3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 06368FAC3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BMO 125 15.

BMO 125 15 Backtested Returns

BMO 125 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. BMO 125 15 SEP 26 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 06368FAC3's Variance of 1.12, mean deviation of 0.386, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.046, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 06368FAC3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 06368FAC3 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

BMO 125 15 SEP 26 has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 06368FAC3 time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BMO 125 15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current 06368FAC3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.08

BMO 125 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 06368FAC3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 06368FAC3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 06368FAC3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 06368FAC3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

06368FAC3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 06368FAC3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 06368FAC3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 06368FAC3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

06368FAC3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 06368FAC3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 06368FAC3 bond have on its future price. 06368FAC3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 06368FAC3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 06368FAC3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BMO 125 15 SEP 26.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 06368FAC3 Bond

06368FAC3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 06368FAC3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 06368FAC3 with respect to the benefits of owning 06368FAC3 security.