BK 105 15 OCT 26 Market Value

06406RAV9   88.21  6.26  6.63%   
06406RAV9's market value is the price at which a share of 06406RAV9 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BK 105 15 OCT 26 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BK 105 15 OCT 26 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 06406RAV9 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 06406RAV9 Correlation, 06406RAV9 Volatility and 06406RAV9 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 06406RAV9.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 06406RAV9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 06406RAV9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 06406RAV9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

06406RAV9 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 06406RAV9's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 06406RAV9.
0.00
02/07/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 06406RAV9 on February 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BK 105 15 OCT 26 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 06406RAV9 over 360 days. 06406RAV9 is related to or competes with Visteon Corp, Wabash National, Summit Materials, Brunswick, and Harmony Gold. More

06406RAV9 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 06406RAV9's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BK 105 15 OCT 26 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

06406RAV9 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 06406RAV9's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 06406RAV9's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 06406RAV9 historical prices to predict the future 06406RAV9's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.9988.2189.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.9277.1497.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
84.5785.8087.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
85.3189.7894.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 06406RAV9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 06406RAV9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 06406RAV9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BK 105 15.

BK 105 15 Backtested Returns

At this point, 06406RAV9 is very steady. BK 105 15 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which signifies that the bond had a close to zero % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for 06406RAV9, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 06406RAV9's Coefficient Of Variation of 11422.02, standard deviation of 1.22, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0141 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0107%. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 06406RAV9's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 06406RAV9 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

BK 105 15 OCT 26 has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 06406RAV9 time series from 7th of February 2024 to 5th of August 2024 and 5th of August 2024 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BK 105 15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current 06406RAV9 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.15

BK 105 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 06406RAV9 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 06406RAV9's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 06406RAV9 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 06406RAV9 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

06406RAV9 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 06406RAV9 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 06406RAV9 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 06406RAV9 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

06406RAV9 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 06406RAV9's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 06406RAV9 bond have on its future price. 06406RAV9 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 06406RAV9 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 06406RAV9 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BK 105 15 OCT 26.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 06406RAV9 Bond

06406RAV9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 06406RAV9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 06406RAV9 with respect to the benefits of owning 06406RAV9 security.