BK 4706 01 FEB 34 Market Value

06406RBP1   94.54  3.39  3.46%   
06406RBP1's market value is the price at which a share of 06406RBP1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BK 4706 01 FEB 34 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BK 4706 01 FEB 34 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 06406RBP1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 06406RBP1 Correlation, 06406RBP1 Volatility and 06406RBP1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 06406RBP1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 06406RBP1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 06406RBP1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 06406RBP1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

06406RBP1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 06406RBP1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 06406RBP1.
0.00
12/08/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 06406RBP1 on December 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BK 4706 01 FEB 34 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 06406RBP1 over 720 days. 06406RBP1 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

06406RBP1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 06406RBP1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BK 4706 01 FEB 34 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

06406RBP1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 06406RBP1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 06406RBP1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 06406RBP1 historical prices to predict the future 06406RBP1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.9494.5495.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.0086.60103.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 06406RBP1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 06406RBP1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 06406RBP1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BK 4706 01.

BK 4706 01 Backtested Returns

BK 4706 01 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0923, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0923% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 06406RBP1 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 06406RBP1's Information Ratio of (0.51), variance of 0.1693, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 2.18 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0416, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 06406RBP1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 06406RBP1 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.33  

Poor reverse predictability

BK 4706 01 FEB 34 has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 06406RBP1 time series from 8th of December 2022 to 3rd of December 2023 and 3rd of December 2023 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BK 4706 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current 06406RBP1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.33
Spearman Rank Test-0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.25

BK 4706 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 06406RBP1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 06406RBP1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 06406RBP1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 06406RBP1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

06406RBP1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 06406RBP1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 06406RBP1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 06406RBP1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

06406RBP1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 06406RBP1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 06406RBP1 bond have on its future price. 06406RBP1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 06406RBP1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 06406RBP1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BK 4706 01 FEB 34.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 06406RBP1 Bond

06406RBP1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 06406RBP1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 06406RBP1 with respect to the benefits of owning 06406RBP1 security.