BDN 755 15 MAR 28 Market Value

105340AR4   96.00  9.62  9.11%   
105340AR4's market value is the price at which a share of 105340AR4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BDN 755 15 MAR 28 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BDN 755 15 MAR 28 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 105340AR4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 105340AR4 Correlation, 105340AR4 Volatility and 105340AR4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 105340AR4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 105340AR4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 105340AR4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 105340AR4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

105340AR4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 105340AR4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 105340AR4.
0.00
12/07/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 105340AR4 on December 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BDN 755 15 MAR 28 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 105340AR4 over 360 days. 105340AR4 is related to or competes with ATT, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Dupont De, GE Aerospace, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

105340AR4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 105340AR4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BDN 755 15 MAR 28 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

105340AR4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 105340AR4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 105340AR4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 105340AR4 historical prices to predict the future 105340AR4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.5596.0097.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.5182.96105.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.0692.5193.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.8699.67108.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 105340AR4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 105340AR4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 105340AR4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BDN 755 15.

BDN 755 15 Backtested Returns

BDN 755 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. BDN 755 15 MAR 28 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 105340AR4's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), variance of 2.34, and Mean Deviation of 0.8162 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 105340AR4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 105340AR4 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.06  

Very weak reverse predictability

BDN 755 15 MAR 28 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 105340AR4 time series from 7th of December 2023 to 4th of June 2024 and 4th of June 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BDN 755 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current 105340AR4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.06
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.53

BDN 755 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 105340AR4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 105340AR4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 105340AR4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 105340AR4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

105340AR4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 105340AR4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 105340AR4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 105340AR4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

105340AR4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 105340AR4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 105340AR4 bond have on its future price. 105340AR4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 105340AR4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 105340AR4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BDN 755 15 MAR 28.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 105340AR4 Bond

105340AR4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 105340AR4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 105340AR4 with respect to the benefits of owning 105340AR4 security.