BHF 175 13 JAN 25 Market Value

10921U2H0   93.02  6.54  6.57%   
10921U2H0's market value is the price at which a share of 10921U2H0 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BHF 175 13 JAN 25 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BHF 175 13 JAN 25 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 10921U2H0 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 10921U2H0 Correlation, 10921U2H0 Volatility and 10921U2H0 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 10921U2H0.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 10921U2H0's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 10921U2H0 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 10921U2H0's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

10921U2H0 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 10921U2H0's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 10921U2H0.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 10921U2H0 on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BHF 175 13 JAN 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 10921U2H0 over 540 days. 10921U2H0 is related to or competes with ATT, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Dupont De, GE Aerospace, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

10921U2H0 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 10921U2H0's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BHF 175 13 JAN 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

10921U2H0 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 10921U2H0's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 10921U2H0's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 10921U2H0 historical prices to predict the future 10921U2H0's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.6193.0294.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.7294.6596.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.8891.3092.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.7098.45101.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 10921U2H0. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 10921U2H0's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 10921U2H0's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BHF 175 13.

BHF 175 13 Backtested Returns

BHF 175 13 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the bond had a -0.18% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. BHF 175 13 JAN 25 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 10921U2H0's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), variance of 0.7212, and Mean Deviation of 0.2532 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0944, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 10921U2H0's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 10921U2H0 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.82  

Very good predictability

BHF 175 13 JAN 25 has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 10921U2H0 time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BHF 175 13 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current 10921U2H0 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.91
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.64

BHF 175 13 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 10921U2H0 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 10921U2H0's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 10921U2H0 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 10921U2H0 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

10921U2H0 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 10921U2H0 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 10921U2H0 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 10921U2H0 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

10921U2H0 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 10921U2H0's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 10921U2H0 bond have on its future price. 10921U2H0 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 10921U2H0 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 10921U2H0 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BHF 175 13 JAN 25.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 10921U2H0 Bond

10921U2H0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 10921U2H0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 10921U2H0 with respect to the benefits of owning 10921U2H0 security.